Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Smer–SD | SaS | OĽaNO | NOVA | SNS | Kotleba–ĽSNS | SME RODINA | MOST–HÍD | KDH | SMK–MKP | PS | SPOLU | PS–SPOLU | ZĽ | DV | V |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 March 2016 | General Election | 28.3% 49 |
12.1% 21 |
11.0% 17 |
11.0% 2 |
8.6% 15 |
8.0% 14 |
6.6% 11 |
6.5% 11 |
4.9% 0 |
4.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 15–24% 27–46 |
3–7% 0–13 |
8–17% 15–31 |
N/A N/A |
4–7% 0–13 |
9–14% 17–28 |
5–9% 10–18 |
2–6% 0–10 |
4–9% 0–17 |
2–6% 0–10 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
7–11% 13–22 |
7–11% 12–20 |
2–6% 0–11 |
1–5% 0 |
| 11–13 February 2020 | AKO | 15–19% 25–37 |
5–8% 0–14 |
13–18% 24–33 |
N/A N/A |
4–7% 0–12 |
9–12% 15–23 |
6–9% 11–16 |
4–6% 0–10 |
4–7% 0–11 |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
8–11% 14–20 |
7–11% 13–20 |
3–6% 0–11 |
1–2% 0 |
| 6–12 February 2020 | FOCUS | 15–19% 28–38 |
4–7% 0–14 |
11–16% 21–29 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0–10 |
10–14% 20–29 |
6–10% 11–20 |
3–6% 0–10 |
4–7% 0–14 |
3–5% 0–9 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
8–11% 15–22 |
7–10% 12–20 |
3–5% 0–10 |
2–4% 0 |
| 24–31 January 2020 | MVK | 20–24% 35–48 |
3–5% 0 |
7–11% 14–21 |
N/A N/A |
5–8% 0–14 |
11–15% 19–28 |
5–8% 9–16 |
2–4% 0 |
6–9% 11–17 |
4–6% 0–10 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
7–10% 12–18 |
7–10% 12–19 |
2–4% 0 |
2–3% 0 |
| 23–30 January 2020 | Polis | 15–19% 26–38 |
4–7% 0–13 |
10–14% 19–26 |
N/A N/A |
4–7% 0–13 |
9–13% 16–25 |
5–8% 9–15 |
4–6% 0–11 |
4–7% 0–12 |
3–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
8–11% 13–20 |
8–12% 15–21 |
4–6% 0–10 |
3–5% 0 |
| 5 March 2016 | General Election | 28.3% 49 |
12.1% 21 |
11.0% 17 |
11.0% 2 |
8.6% 15 |
8.0% 14 |
6.6% 11 |
6.5% 11 |
4.9% 0 |
4.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Národná rada (95% confidence interval)
- Smer–SD: SMER–sociálna demokracia
- SaS: Sloboda a Solidarita
- OĽaNO: OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
- NOVA: NOVA
- SNS: Slovenská národná strana
- Kotleba–ĽSNS: Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
- SME RODINA: SME RODINA
- MOST–HÍD: MOST–HÍD
- KDH: Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
- SMK–MKP: Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
- PS: Progresívne Slovensko
- SPOLU: SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
- PS–SPOLU: Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
- ZĽ: Za ľudí
- DV: Dobrá voľba
- V: VLASŤ
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 28.3% | 17.6% | 15.8–22.2% | 15.3–23.0% | 15.0–23.5% | 14.3–24.5% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 12.1% | 5.2% | 3.7–6.5% | 3.4–6.9% | 3.2–7.2% | 2.8–7.9% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 11.0% | 12.7% | 8.7–15.9% | 8.3–16.5% | 7.9–17.0% | 7.3–18.0% |
| NOVA | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Slovenská národná strana | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.1–6.5% | 3.8–6.8% | 3.6–7.1% | 3.2–7.6% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 11.7% | 9.9–13.5% | 9.5–13.9% | 9.1–14.3% | 8.5–15.1% |
| SME RODINA | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8–8.3% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.3–9.1% | 4.9–9.7% |
| MOST–HÍD | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.7% | 2.4–6.0% | 2.1–6.5% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% | 4.2–8.6% | 3.9–9.3% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8–5.0% | 2.6–5.3% | 2.4–5.6% | 2.1–6.1% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0.0% | 9.0% | 7.7–10.4% | 7.4–10.7% | 7.1–11.1% | 6.6–11.7% |
| Za ľudí | 0.0% | 8.8% | 7.6–10.4% | 7.2–10.9% | 7.0–11.3% | 6.5–12.0% |
| Dobrá voľba | 0.0% | 4.1% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.6–5.4% | 2.4–5.7% | 2.1–6.2% |
| VLASŤ | 0.0% | 2.8% | 1.5–4.2% | 1.3–4.5% | 1.1–4.8% | 0.9–5.3% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 18% | 93% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 25% | 75% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 18% | 51% | Median |
| 18.5–19.5% | 7% | 33% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 4% | 26% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 6% | 22% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 8% | 16% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 5% | 8% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 21% | 93% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 33% | 72% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 28% | 38% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 9% | 10% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 11% | 92% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 7% | 81% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 8% | 74% | Last Result |
| 11.5–12.5% | 14% | 66% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 13% | 37% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 11% | 24% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 8% | 13% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 20% | 98% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 39% | 78% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 30% | 39% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 8% | 9% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 8.5–9.5% | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 16% | 94% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 25% | 78% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 26% | 53% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 18% | 27% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 7% | 9% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 28% | 95% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 37% | 66% | Last Result, Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 22% | 29% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 21% | 96% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 34% | 75% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 32% | 40% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 7% | 8% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 35% | 93% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 31% | 58% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 15% | 28% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 10% | 13% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 5% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 35% | 95% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 41% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 18% | 20% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 25% | 93% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 37% | 68% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 23% | 31% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 9% | 99.3% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 30% | 90% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 33% | 61% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 19% | 28% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 7% | 9% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 25% | 96% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 42% | 71% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 25% | 29% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 13% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 29% | 87% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 32% | 59% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 22% | 27% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 49 | 33 | 28–41 | 28–43 | 27–46 | 25–48 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 21 | 9 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti | 17 | 23 | 17–29 | 16–31 | 15–31 | 14–33 |
| NOVA | 2 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Slovenská národná strana | 15 | 9 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 14 | 21 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 17–28 | 15–29 |
| SME RODINA | 11 | 13 | 11–16 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 0–20 |
| MOST–HÍD | 11 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–17 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 17 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 13–22 | 12–23 |
| Za ľudí | 0 | 17 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–20 | 11–21 |
| Dobrá voľba | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 |
| VLASŤ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 28 | 8% | 97% | |
| 29 | 2% | 89% | |
| 30 | 5% | 87% | |
| 31 | 13% | 81% | |
| 32 | 10% | 69% | |
| 33 | 22% | 59% | Median |
| 34 | 3% | 36% | |
| 35 | 3% | 33% | |
| 36 | 2% | 31% | |
| 37 | 6% | 29% | |
| 38 | 8% | 23% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 15% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 41 | 5% | 13% | |
| 42 | 2% | 8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 6% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 63% | |
| 2 | 0% | 63% | |
| 3 | 0% | 63% | |
| 4 | 0% | 63% | |
| 5 | 0% | 63% | |
| 6 | 0% | 63% | |
| 7 | 0% | 63% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 63% | |
| 9 | 17% | 63% | Median |
| 10 | 20% | 46% | |
| 11 | 10% | 26% | |
| 12 | 10% | 16% | |
| 13 | 4% | 6% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 15 | 2% | 98% | |
| 16 | 5% | 96% | |
| 17 | 5% | 90% | Last Result |
| 18 | 4% | 86% | |
| 19 | 7% | 82% | |
| 20 | 4% | 76% | |
| 21 | 2% | 72% | |
| 22 | 3% | 70% | |
| 23 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 24 | 4% | 49% | |
| 25 | 15% | 44% | |
| 26 | 5% | 29% | |
| 27 | 9% | 24% | |
| 28 | 4% | 16% | |
| 29 | 3% | 12% | |
| 30 | 3% | 9% | |
| 31 | 5% | 6% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 47% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 53% | |
| 2 | 0% | 53% | |
| 3 | 0% | 53% | |
| 4 | 0% | 53% | |
| 5 | 0% | 53% | |
| 6 | 0% | 53% | |
| 7 | 0% | 53% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 53% | |
| 9 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 10 | 24% | 45% | |
| 11 | 10% | 21% | |
| 12 | 7% | 11% | |
| 13 | 2% | 4% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 8% | 98% | |
| 18 | 7% | 90% | |
| 19 | 3% | 83% | |
| 20 | 7% | 80% | |
| 21 | 33% | 73% | Median |
| 22 | 10% | 40% | |
| 23 | 10% | 30% | |
| 24 | 7% | 20% | |
| 25 | 7% | 13% | |
| 26 | 2% | 6% | |
| 27 | 2% | 5% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 6% | 98% | |
| 11 | 25% | 92% | Last Result |
| 12 | 8% | 68% | |
| 13 | 17% | 60% | Median |
| 14 | 19% | 43% | |
| 15 | 9% | 24% | |
| 16 | 6% | 14% | |
| 17 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 18 | 5% | 7% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0% | 13% | |
| 4 | 0% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0% | 13% | |
| 6 | 0% | 13% | |
| 7 | 0% | 13% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 9 | 3% | 12% | |
| 10 | 8% | 10% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 81% | |
| 2 | 0% | 81% | |
| 3 | 0% | 81% | |
| 4 | 0% | 81% | |
| 5 | 0% | 81% | |
| 6 | 0% | 81% | |
| 7 | 0% | 81% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 81% | |
| 9 | 21% | 80% | |
| 10 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 48% | |
| 12 | 6% | 28% | |
| 13 | 3% | 23% | |
| 14 | 5% | 19% | |
| 15 | 9% | 14% | |
| 16 | 3% | 6% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 9% | |
| 9 | 5% | 9% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 7% | 93% | |
| 15 | 14% | 86% | |
| 16 | 17% | 71% | |
| 17 | 22% | 55% | Median |
| 18 | 11% | 33% | |
| 19 | 13% | 21% | |
| 20 | 4% | 8% | |
| 21 | 2% | 4% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 7% | 97% | |
| 14 | 7% | 90% | |
| 15 | 14% | 83% | |
| 16 | 11% | 69% | |
| 17 | 37% | 57% | Median |
| 18 | 8% | 21% | |
| 19 | 4% | 13% | |
| 20 | 7% | 9% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 86% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 14% | |
| 2 | 0% | 14% | |
| 3 | 0% | 14% | |
| 4 | 0% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 14% | |
| 6 | 0% | 14% | |
| 7 | 0% | 14% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 9 | 7% | 14% | |
| 10 | 3% | 8% | |
| 11 | 5% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – MOST–HÍD – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí | 60 | 86 | 90% | 76–99 | 74–101 | 72–102 | 68–103 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí | 49 | 86 | 89% | 75–97 | 73–100 | 72–102 | 68–103 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – MOST–HÍD – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí | 60 | 86 | 84% | 74–99 | 71–101 | 69–102 | 66–103 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí | 49 | 86 | 82% | 73–97 | 71–100 | 69–102 | 65–103 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA | 89 | 75 | 37% | 64–86 | 64–89 | 62–91 | 59–92 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí | 49 | 75 | 36% | 64–86 | 61–86 | 59–87 | 58–90 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí | 38 | 74 | 31% | 63–82 | 61–86 | 59–87 | 57–90 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí | 49 | 75 | 35% | 61–86 | 59–86 | 57–87 | 56–90 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí | 38 | 74 | 30% | 60–82 | 59–86 | 57–86 | 55–90 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí | 38 | 66 | 4% | 47–74 | 45–75 | 43–76 | 41–81 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 75 | 52 | 0% | 45–63 | 42–65 | 42–66 | 39–69 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 60 | 46 | 0% | 42–53 | 40–56 | 39–60 | 35–60 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí | 21 | 49 | 0% | 43–56 | 40–58 | 37–59 | 34–61 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD | 75 | 41 | 0% | 31–51 | 29–53 | 28–55 | 28–57 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 64 | 40 | 0% | 31–50 | 28–53 | 28–55 | 27–57 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí | 21 | 42 | 0% | 30–48 | 28–49 | 28–49 | 26–52 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 49 | 33 | 0% | 28–41 | 28–43 | 27–46 | 25–48 |
Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – MOST–HÍD – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 3% | 95% | |
| 75 | 2% | 92% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 90% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 89% | |
| 78 | 2% | 87% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 80 | 6% | 84% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 78% | |
| 82 | 3% | 78% | |
| 83 | 2% | 75% | |
| 84 | 5% | 73% | |
| 85 | 4% | 69% | |
| 86 | 20% | 65% | |
| 87 | 4% | 45% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 41% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 39% | Median |
| 90 | 1.4% | 39% | |
| 91 | 3% | 37% | |
| 92 | 6% | 34% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 28% | |
| 94 | 5% | 27% | |
| 95 | 3% | 22% | |
| 96 | 2% | 19% | |
| 97 | 4% | 17% | |
| 98 | 2% | 13% | |
| 99 | 2% | 12% | |
| 100 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 101 | 6% | 9% | |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 4% | 94% | |
| 75 | 2% | 91% | |
| 76 | 2% | 89% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 87% | |
| 78 | 2% | 85% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 83% | |
| 80 | 6% | 82% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 76% | |
| 82 | 3% | 75% | |
| 83 | 2% | 71% | |
| 84 | 5% | 69% | |
| 85 | 4% | 64% | |
| 86 | 20% | 60% | |
| 87 | 4% | 40% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 36% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 35% | Median |
| 90 | 1.3% | 33% | |
| 91 | 6% | 32% | |
| 92 | 6% | 26% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 20% | |
| 94 | 4% | 19% | |
| 95 | 2% | 15% | |
| 96 | 2% | 13% | |
| 97 | 4% | 11% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – MOST–HÍD – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 71 | 2% | 96% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 73 | 2% | 93% | |
| 74 | 5% | 90% | |
| 75 | 2% | 85% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 84% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.5% | 82% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 81% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 80% | |
| 80 | 4% | 79% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 75% | |
| 82 | 3% | 75% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 72% | |
| 84 | 3% | 71% | |
| 85 | 4% | 67% | |
| 86 | 20% | 64% | |
| 87 | 4% | 44% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 40% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 39% | Median |
| 90 | 1.4% | 38% | |
| 91 | 4% | 37% | |
| 92 | 6% | 33% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 94 | 5% | 26% | |
| 95 | 2% | 21% | |
| 96 | 2% | 19% | |
| 97 | 4% | 17% | |
| 98 | 2% | 13% | |
| 99 | 2% | 11% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 101 | 6% | 9% | |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 71 | 2% | 95% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 73 | 2% | 92% | |
| 74 | 5% | 89% | |
| 75 | 2% | 84% | |
| 76 | 2% | 82% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 80% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 79% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 78% | |
| 80 | 5% | 77% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 82 | 3% | 72% | |
| 83 | 1.5% | 69% | |
| 84 | 4% | 67% | |
| 85 | 4% | 63% | |
| 86 | 20% | 59% | |
| 87 | 4% | 39% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 35% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 34% | Median |
| 90 | 1.3% | 33% | |
| 91 | 7% | 31% | |
| 92 | 6% | 25% | |
| 93 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 94 | 4% | 18% | |
| 95 | 2% | 14% | |
| 96 | 2% | 12% | |
| 97 | 4% | 10% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 8% | 95% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 66 | 7% | 86% | |
| 67 | 3% | 79% | |
| 68 | 5% | 76% | |
| 69 | 5% | 71% | |
| 70 | 6% | 66% | |
| 71 | 4% | 60% | |
| 72 | 2% | 57% | |
| 73 | 2% | 55% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 53% | |
| 75 | 15% | 52% | |
| 76 | 5% | 37% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 78 | 2% | 31% | |
| 79 | 3% | 29% | |
| 80 | 2% | 26% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 24% | |
| 82 | 5% | 23% | |
| 83 | 4% | 19% | |
| 84 | 2% | 14% | |
| 85 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 86 | 3% | 11% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 8% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 5% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 91 | 2% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 61 | 2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 2% | 95% | |
| 63 | 2% | 93% | |
| 64 | 3% | 92% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 66 | 2% | 87% | |
| 67 | 4% | 85% | |
| 68 | 5% | 81% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 70 | 2% | 75% | |
| 71 | 4% | 73% | |
| 72 | 3% | 69% | |
| 73 | 9% | 65% | |
| 74 | 5% | 56% | |
| 75 | 15% | 51% | |
| 76 | 2% | 36% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 34% | |
| 78 | 2% | 33% | |
| 79 | 4% | 31% | |
| 80 | 5% | 27% | |
| 81 | 3% | 22% | |
| 82 | 2% | 19% | |
| 83 | 2% | 16% | |
| 84 | 2% | 14% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 86 | 8% | 12% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 61 | 2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 2% | 94% | |
| 63 | 2% | 92% | |
| 64 | 3% | 90% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 86% | |
| 66 | 3% | 85% | |
| 67 | 5% | 82% | |
| 68 | 5% | 78% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 73% | |
| 70 | 4% | 72% | |
| 71 | 4% | 69% | |
| 72 | 3% | 64% | |
| 73 | 9% | 61% | |
| 74 | 5% | 52% | |
| 75 | 15% | 46% | |
| 76 | 6% | 31% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 25% | |
| 78 | 2% | 23% | |
| 79 | 4% | 22% | |
| 80 | 3% | 18% | |
| 81 | 3% | 15% | |
| 82 | 2% | 12% | |
| 83 | 2% | 10% | |
| 84 | 2% | 8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 86 | 3% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – MOST–HÍD – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 58 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 3% | 96% | |
| 60 | 2% | 92% | |
| 61 | 2% | 90% | |
| 62 | 2% | 88% | |
| 63 | 2% | 86% | |
| 64 | 3% | 84% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 81% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 80% | |
| 67 | 4% | 80% | |
| 68 | 3% | 75% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 72% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 72% | |
| 71 | 4% | 71% | |
| 72 | 3% | 67% | |
| 73 | 9% | 64% | |
| 74 | 5% | 55% | |
| 75 | 15% | 50% | |
| 76 | 2% | 35% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 33% | |
| 78 | 2% | 32% | |
| 79 | 4% | 30% | |
| 80 | 5% | 26% | |
| 81 | 3% | 21% | |
| 82 | 2% | 18% | |
| 83 | 2% | 16% | |
| 84 | 2% | 14% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 86 | 8% | 11% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 58 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 59 | 3% | 95% | |
| 60 | 2% | 92% | |
| 61 | 2% | 90% | |
| 62 | 3% | 87% | |
| 63 | 2% | 85% | |
| 64 | 3% | 83% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 67 | 4% | 77% | |
| 68 | 3% | 73% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 70% | |
| 70 | 2% | 69% | |
| 71 | 4% | 67% | |
| 72 | 3% | 63% | |
| 73 | 9% | 60% | |
| 74 | 5% | 51% | |
| 75 | 15% | 45% | |
| 76 | 6% | 30% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 24% | |
| 78 | 2% | 23% | |
| 79 | 4% | 21% | |
| 80 | 3% | 17% | |
| 81 | 3% | 14% | |
| 82 | 2% | 11% | |
| 83 | 2% | 9% | |
| 84 | 2% | 8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 86 | 3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita – OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 45 | 4% | 96% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 47 | 3% | 90% | |
| 48 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 86% | |
| 50 | 3% | 85% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 52 | 5% | 82% | |
| 53 | 2% | 77% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 75% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 75% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 75% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 74% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 73% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 73% | |
| 60 | 2% | 72% | |
| 61 | 2% | 70% | |
| 62 | 3% | 68% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 64% | |
| 64 | 4% | 63% | |
| 65 | 5% | 59% | |
| 66 | 15% | 54% | Median |
| 67 | 3% | 39% | |
| 68 | 4% | 36% | |
| 69 | 4% | 32% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 28% | |
| 71 | 5% | 26% | |
| 72 | 2% | 21% | |
| 73 | 6% | 20% | |
| 74 | 6% | 14% | |
| 75 | 3% | 7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 42 | 3% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 44 | 4% | 94% | |
| 45 | 6% | 91% | |
| 46 | 11% | 85% | |
| 47 | 2% | 74% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 72% | |
| 49 | 5% | 70% | |
| 50 | 3% | 65% | |
| 51 | 12% | 63% | |
| 52 | 3% | 50% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 48% | |
| 54 | 16% | 47% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 31% | Median |
| 56 | 2% | 30% | |
| 57 | 2% | 28% | |
| 58 | 2% | 25% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 23% | |
| 60 | 3% | 22% | |
| 61 | 4% | 20% | |
| 62 | 5% | 15% | |
| 63 | 5% | 10% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 96% | |
| 41 | 3% | 94% | |
| 42 | 6% | 91% | |
| 43 | 3% | 84% | |
| 44 | 18% | 81% | |
| 45 | 7% | 63% | |
| 46 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 47 | 4% | 44% | |
| 48 | 2% | 40% | |
| 49 | 5% | 39% | |
| 50 | 2% | 33% | |
| 51 | 17% | 31% | |
| 52 | 3% | 13% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 54 | 2% | 10% | |
| 55 | 2% | 8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 6% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 60 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 40 | 2% | 96% | |
| 41 | 2% | 94% | |
| 42 | 2% | 92% | |
| 43 | 3% | 90% | |
| 44 | 3% | 87% | |
| 45 | 7% | 83% | |
| 46 | 6% | 77% | |
| 47 | 5% | 70% | |
| 48 | 15% | 65% | |
| 49 | 7% | 50% | |
| 50 | 2% | 43% | |
| 51 | 2% | 41% | |
| 52 | 15% | 39% | |
| 53 | 8% | 24% | Median |
| 54 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 55 | 4% | 14% | |
| 56 | 3% | 11% | |
| 57 | 3% | 8% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 30 | 3% | 94% | |
| 31 | 2% | 92% | |
| 32 | 9% | 89% | |
| 33 | 6% | 80% | |
| 34 | 2% | 74% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 72% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 71% | |
| 37 | 5% | 70% | |
| 38 | 2% | 65% | |
| 39 | 2% | 63% | |
| 40 | 4% | 61% | |
| 41 | 7% | 57% | |
| 42 | 3% | 49% | Median |
| 43 | 16% | 47% | |
| 44 | 2% | 31% | |
| 45 | 2% | 30% | |
| 46 | 3% | 27% | |
| 47 | 3% | 24% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 21% | |
| 49 | 7% | 20% | |
| 50 | 2% | 13% | |
| 51 | 3% | 11% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 53 | 3% | 8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 30 | 3% | 94% | |
| 31 | 7% | 90% | |
| 32 | 9% | 83% | |
| 33 | 7% | 74% | |
| 34 | 2% | 67% | |
| 35 | 2% | 65% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 63% | |
| 37 | 5% | 62% | |
| 38 | 2% | 56% | |
| 39 | 2% | 54% | |
| 40 | 5% | 52% | |
| 41 | 2% | 47% | |
| 42 | 2% | 44% | Median |
| 43 | 16% | 42% | |
| 44 | 2% | 27% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 25% | |
| 46 | 3% | 24% | |
| 47 | 3% | 20% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 49 | 6% | 17% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 51 | 2% | 10% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sloboda a Solidarita – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Za ľudí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 6% | 98% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 30 | 2% | 91% | |
| 31 | 2% | 89% | |
| 32 | 4% | 86% | |
| 33 | 8% | 82% | |
| 34 | 6% | 74% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 68% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 67% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 65% | |
| 38 | 2% | 64% | |
| 39 | 4% | 63% | |
| 40 | 2% | 58% | |
| 41 | 2% | 56% | |
| 42 | 6% | 54% | |
| 43 | 18% | 48% | Median |
| 44 | 3% | 30% | |
| 45 | 4% | 27% | |
| 46 | 3% | 23% | |
| 47 | 5% | 19% | |
| 48 | 7% | 14% | |
| 49 | 5% | 7% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 28 | 8% | 97% | |
| 29 | 2% | 89% | |
| 30 | 5% | 87% | |
| 31 | 13% | 81% | |
| 32 | 10% | 69% | |
| 33 | 22% | 59% | Median |
| 34 | 3% | 36% | |
| 35 | 3% | 33% | |
| 36 | 2% | 31% | |
| 37 | 6% | 29% | |
| 38 | 8% | 23% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 15% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 41 | 5% | 13% | |
| 42 | 2% | 8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 6% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 4
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 4,194,304
- Error estimate: 2.96%