Sloboda a Solidarita

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 12.1% (General Election of 5 March 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 5.2% 3.7–6.5% 3.4–6.9% 3.2–7.2% 2.8–7.9%
11–13 February 2020 AKO 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
6–12 February 2020 FOCUS 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.2–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.4%
3–6 February 2020 AKO 5.8% 5.0–6.9% 4.7–7.2% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–8.0%
24–31 January 2020 MVK 3.8% 3.2–4.7% 3.0–4.9% 2.9–5.1% 2.6–5.6%
23–30 January 2020 Polis 5.2% 4.5–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.1–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
15–22 January 2020 FOCUS 5.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.7%
15–17 January 2020 AKO 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.2% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
10–15 January 2020 Polis 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.1% 4.1–7.6%
10–14 January 2020 FOCUS 5.4% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.0% 3.8–7.6%
7–9 January 2020 AKO
TA3		 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
7–11 December 2019 Polis 5.2% 4.5–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.7–7.2%
2–9 December 2019 FOCUS 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
19–25 November 2019 AKO 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
9–13 November 2019 Polis 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.1%
30 October–6 November 2019 FOCUS 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
15–22 October 2019 FOCUS 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.3%
7–10 October 2019 AKO 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.2% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
18–25 September 2019 AKO 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
11–17 September 2019 FOCUS 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.7%
26–29 August 2019 AKO 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%
12 August 2019 MVK 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
1–7 August 2019 FOCUS 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
19–25 June 2019 FOCUS 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
11–18 June 2019 Polis 8.5% 7.5–9.6% 7.3–10.0% 7.0–10.2% 6.6–10.8%
1–11 June 2019 FOCUS 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
28–31 May 2019 AKO 10.8% 9.6–12.2% 9.3–12.5% 9.0–12.9% 8.5–13.6%
8–10 May 2019 AKO 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.5%
29 April–6 May 2019 AKO 13.1% 11.8–14.6% 11.4–15.0% 11.1–15.3% 10.6–16.1%
8–14 April 2019 FOCUS 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
1–2 April 2019 AKO 12.9% 11.6–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.1% 10.4–15.9%
1–15 March 2019 FOCUS 11.0% 10.1–12.1% 9.8–12.4% 9.6–12.7% 9.1–13.2%
21–26 February 2019 FOCUS 11.2% 10.0–12.5% 9.6–12.9% 9.4–13.2% 8.8–13.9%
8–12 February 2019 AKO 14.8% 13.4–16.3% 13.1–16.8% 12.7–17.1% 12.1–17.9%
16–23 January 2019 FOCUS 12.3% 11.1–13.8% 10.7–14.2% 10.5–14.5% 9.9–15.2%
1–9 December 2018 FOCUS 13.3% 12.1–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.4–15.6% 10.8–16.3%
27–28 November 2018 AKO 15.9% 14.5–17.5% 14.1–17.9% 13.8–18.3% 13.1–19.1%
13–15 November 2018 AKO 16.1% 14.7–17.7% 14.3–18.1% 13.9–18.5% 13.3–19.3%
7–14 November 2018 FOCUS 12.0% 10.7–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.1% 9.5–14.8%
3–8 October 2018 AKO 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.2%
18–25 September 2018 FOCUS 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.7% 10.9–16.5%
30 August–5 September 2018 AKO 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.2%
15–17 August 2018 AKO 15.7% 14.3–17.3% 13.9–17.7% 13.6–18.1% 12.9–18.9%
2–9 August 2018 FOCUS 12.2% 11.0–13.6% 10.6–14.0% 10.3–14.4% 9.8–15.1%
18–21 June 2018 AKO 15.5% 14.1–17.1% 13.7–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.7–18.7%
4–11 June 2018 FOCUS 12.4% 11.2–13.8% 10.8–14.2% 10.5–14.6% 10.0–15.3%
16–21 May 2018 AKO 16.7% 15.3–18.3% 14.9–18.7% 14.5–19.1% 13.9–19.9%
24–30 April 2018 FOCUS 13.2% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.1% 11.3–15.5% 10.7–16.2%
20–24 April 2018 AKO 16.1% 14.7–17.7% 14.3–18.1% 13.9–18.5% 13.3–19.3%
4–7 April 2018 AKO 17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.2–19.2% 14.9–19.6% 14.2–20.4%
7–13 March 2018 FOCUS 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.1%
21–26 February 2018 AKO 16.2% 14.8–17.8% 14.4–18.2% 14.0–18.6% 13.4–19.4%
23–28 January 2018 FOCUS 13.1% 11.9–14.6% 11.5–15.0% 11.2–15.4% 10.6–16.1%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sloboda a Solidarita.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0.1% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 7% 99.9%  
3.5–4.5% 21% 93%  
4.5–5.5% 33% 72% Median
5.5–6.5% 28% 38%  
6.5–7.5% 9% 10%  
7.5–8.5% 1.1% 1.2%  
8.5–9.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Seats

Last result: 21 seats (General Election of 5 March 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 9 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14
11–13 February 2020 AKO 11 0–13 0–13 0–14 0–16
6–12 February 2020 FOCUS 10 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–14
3–6 February 2020 AKO 11 11 10–11 10–11 0–13
24–31 January 2020 MVK 0 0 0 0 0–10
23–30 January 2020 Polis 9 9–11 0–12 0–13 0–13
15–22 January 2020 FOCUS 10 9–12 0–12 0–13 0–13
15–17 January 2020 AKO 12 10–15 9–16 9–16 0–16
10–15 January 2020 Polis 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–13
10–14 January 2020 FOCUS 11 0–13 0–13 0–13 0–15
7–9 January 2020 AKO
TA3		 12 10–15 10–15 10–15 0–17
7–11 December 2019 Polis 8 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–11
2–9 December 2019 FOCUS 12 10–13 0–13 0–13 0–14
19–25 November 2019 AKO 11 11 11–12 10–12 0–14
9–13 November 2019 Polis 9 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
30 October–6 November 2019 FOCUS 0 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
15–22 October 2019 FOCUS 10 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–13
7–10 October 2019 AKO 12 10–16 9–16 9–16 0–16
18–25 September 2019 AKO 12 9–13 9–14 9–15 9–16
11–17 September 2019 FOCUS 10 9–13 9–13 9–13 0–14
26–29 August 2019 AKO 15 13–16 12–17 12–17 10–19
12 August 2019 MVK 10 0–12 0–12 0–12 0–14
1–7 August 2019 FOCUS 11 10–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
19–25 June 2019 FOCUS 13 10–14 10–15 10–16 9–17
11–18 June 2019 Polis 15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
1–11 June 2019 FOCUS 14 12–16 12–16 11–17 10–18
28–31 May 2019 AKO 18 15–19 15–20 15–21 14–22
8–10 May 2019 AKO 21 19–24 18–24 18–25 17–26
29 April–6 May 2019 AKO 20 19–24 18–25 18–25 16–25
8–14 April 2019 FOCUS 17 14–19 14–20 14–21 13–22
1–2 April 2019 AKO 22 18–22 18–23 17–24 16–25
1–15 March 2019 FOCUS 19 17–20 16–21 16–21 15–22
21–26 February 2019 FOCUS 18 16–21 16–22 15–22 15–24
8–12 February 2019 AKO 23 21–26 20–27 20–27 19–29
16–23 January 2019 FOCUS 21 19–23 19–25 17–25 17–27
1–9 December 2018 FOCUS 22 21–26 20–27 20–27 18–29
27–28 November 2018 AKO 26 24–29 23–30 22–31 21–32
13–15 November 2018 AKO 27 22–29 22–31 21–32 21–34
7–14 November 2018 FOCUS 20 18–24 17–24 17–25 16–27
3–8 October 2018 AKO 26 24–30 23–31 22–31 22–33
18–25 September 2018 FOCUS 25 22–27 21–28 20–29 19–31
30 August–5 September 2018 AKO 26 24–29 23–29 23–29 22–31
15–17 August 2018 AKO 26 24–30 23–30 23–31 22–35
2–9 August 2018 FOCUS 22 20–24 19–25 19–26 18–27
18–21 June 2018 AKO 26 24–28 23–29 23–29 21–31
4–11 June 2018 FOCUS 22 19–24 19–26 18–27 17–28
16–21 May 2018 AKO 28 26–31 25–32 24–32 23–35
24–30 April 2018 FOCUS 23 21–26 21–26 20–27 19–30
20–24 April 2018 AKO 26 24–29 24–29 24–30 22–32
4–7 April 2018 AKO 29 25–32 25–32 24–33 23–35
7–13 March 2018 FOCUS 25 22–26 21–27 21–28 20–30
21–26 February 2018 AKO 27 24–29 24–30 22–31 21–32
23–28 January 2018 FOCUS 23 20–25 19–25 19–26 18–28

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sloboda a Solidarita.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 37% 100%  
1 0% 63%  
2 0% 63%  
3 0% 63%  
4 0% 63%  
5 0% 63%  
6 0% 63%  
7 0% 63%  
8 0.1% 63%  
9 17% 63% Median
10 20% 46%  
11 10% 26%  
12 10% 16%  
13 4% 6%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.1% 0.3%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result