Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Dagens Nyheter, 7–10 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D) 0.0% 27.4% 26.1–28.8% 25.7–29.2% 25.4–29.5% 24.8–30.2%
Sverigedemokraterna (ECR) 0.0% 18.8% 17.6–20.0% 17.3–20.3% 17.0–20.7% 16.5–21.2%
Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP) 0.0% 18.3% 17.1–19.5% 16.8–19.8% 16.6–20.1% 16.0–20.7%
Centerpartiet (RE) 0.0% 7.6% 6.9–8.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.5–8.9% 6.1–9.4%
Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.6% 6.9–8.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.5–8.9% 6.1–9.4%
Kristdemokraterna (EPP) 0.0% 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–8.0% 5.8–8.2% 5.5–8.6%
Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.8% 6.1–7.6% 5.9–7.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.5%
Liberalerna (RE) 0.0% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D) 0 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–7
Sverigedemokraterna (ECR) 0 4 4 4 4 3–5
Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Centerpartiet (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Kristdemokraterna (EPP) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Liberalerna (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1

Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 15% 100%  
6 84% 85% Median
7 0.7% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 97% 98% Median
5 1.4% 1.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 94% 94% Median
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 20% 100%  
2 80% 80% Median
3 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 21% 100%  
2 79% 79% Median
3 0% 0%  

Kristdemokraterna (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 64% 100% Median
2 36% 36%  
3 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 72% 100% Median
2 28% 28%  
3 0% 0%  

Liberalerna (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 98% 98% Median
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP) – Kristdemokraterna (EPP) 0 5 0% 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
Sverigedemokraterna (ECR) 0 4 0% 4 4 4 3–5
Centerpartiet (RE) – Liberalerna (RE) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP) – Kristdemokraterna (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 100%  
5 65% 98% Median
6 33% 33%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Sverigedemokraterna (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 97% 98% Median
5 1.4% 1.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Centerpartiet (RE) – Liberalerna (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 21% 99.9%  
3 78% 78% Median
4 0% 0%  

Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 72% 100% Median
2 28% 28%  
3 0% 0%  

Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 21% 100%  
2 79% 79% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations