Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19.5% | 17.9–20.7% | 17.2–21.1% | 16.7–21.3% | 15.8–21.9% |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs Posten |
19.3% | 18.2–20.4% | 17.9–20.8% | 17.7–21.0% | 17.2–21.6% |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
18.0% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.8–20.6% | 15.1–21.4% |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
20.2% | 19.2–21.2% | 18.9–21.5% | 18.7–21.8% | 18.2–22.3% |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
19.7% | 18.8–20.7% | 18.5–20.9% | 18.3–21.2% | 17.9–21.6% |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
19.7% | 18.7–20.7% | 18.4–21.0% | 18.2–21.3% | 17.7–21.8% |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
20.3% | 19.4–21.2% | 19.1–21.5% | 18.9–21.7% | 18.5–22.2% |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
20.0% | 19.1–20.9% | 18.8–21.2% | 18.6–21.4% | 18.2–21.9% |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
19.2% | 18.1–20.3% | 17.8–20.7% | 17.6–21.0% | 17.1–21.5% |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
19.1% | 18.2–20.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.7–20.5% | 17.3–20.9% |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
18.3% | 17.4–19.3% | 17.1–19.6% | 16.9–19.8% | 16.4–20.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 5% | 98% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 12% | 93% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 31% | 81% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 35% | 50% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 13% | 14% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs Posten |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 4 | 59% | 99.3% | Median |
| 5 | 40% | 40% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |