Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 19.1% | 18.0–20.6% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.5–21.3% | 17.0–21.9% |
5–18 November 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
19.0% | 17.8–20.3% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.0% | 16.6–21.6% |
26 October–11 November 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
20.2% | 19.2–21.3% | 18.9–21.6% | 18.7–21.8% | 18.2–22.4% |
28 October–10 November 2024 | Verian SVT |
19.1% | 18.2–20.1% | 17.9–20.3% | 17.7–20.6% | 17.3–21.0% |
7–29 October 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
18.3% | 17.7–18.9% | 17.5–19.1% | 17.4–19.2% | 17.1–19.5% |
9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs Posten |
19.3% | 18.2–20.4% | 17.9–20.8% | 17.7–21.0% | 17.2–21.6% |
7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
18.0% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.8–20.6% | 15.1–21.4% |
22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
20.2% | 19.2–21.2% | 18.9–21.5% | 18.7–21.8% | 18.2–22.3% |
23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
19.7% | 18.8–20.7% | 18.5–20.9% | 18.3–21.2% | 17.9–21.6% |
26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
19.7% | 18.7–20.7% | 18.4–21.0% | 18.2–21.3% | 17.7–21.8% |
26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
20.3% | 19.4–21.2% | 19.1–21.5% | 18.9–21.7% | 18.5–22.2% |
29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
20.0% | 19.1–20.9% | 18.8–21.2% | 18.6–21.4% | 18.2–21.9% |
5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
19.2% | 18.1–20.3% | 17.8–20.7% | 17.6–21.0% | 17.1–21.5% |
3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
19.1% | 18.2–20.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.7–20.5% | 17.3–20.9% |
2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
18.3% | 17.4–19.3% | 17.1–19.6% | 16.9–19.8% | 16.4–20.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 3% | 99.9% | |
17.5–18.5% | 26% | 97% | |
18.5–19.5% | 36% | 72% | Median |
19.5–20.5% | 25% | 35% | |
20.5–21.5% | 9% | 10% | |
21.5–22.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
22.5–23.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
5–18 November 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
26 October–11 November 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
28 October–10 November 2024 | Verian SVT |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
7–29 October 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs Posten |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
4 | 79% | 99.9% | Median |
5 | 21% | 21% | |
6 | 0% | 0% |