Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 5–24 November 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
6.2% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.4–7.2% | 5.2–7.4% | 4.9–7.8% |
| 15–24 November 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
6.6% | 5.9–7.5% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.0% | 5.2–8.4% |
| 4–17 November 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.8–9.3% | 6.4–9.8% |
| 27 October–9 November 2025 | Verian SVT |
7.4% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.3–8.7% |
| 2–27 October 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
6.6% | 5.9–7.3% | 5.7–7.6% | 5.6–7.8% | 5.3–8.1% |
| 18–27 October 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.1–8.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.7–8.6% |
| 6–19 October 2025 | Novus TV4 |
6.9% | 6.3–7.6% | 6.1–7.8% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% |
| 7–19 October 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.6–8.7% |
| 22 September–5 October 2025 | Verian SVT |
7.5% | 6.9–8.1% | 6.8–8.3% | 6.6–8.5% | 6.4–8.8% |
| 11–22 September 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| 9–21 September 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 8–19 September 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
6.6% | 6.0–7.3% | 5.8–7.5% | 5.6–7.7% | 5.3–8.1% |
| 18 August–8 September 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
7.2% | 6.5–8.0% | 6.3–8.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 5.8–8.8% |
| 25 August–7 September 2025 | Verian SVT |
7.1% | 6.6–7.7% | 6.4–7.9% | 6.3–8.0% | 6.0–8.4% |
| 14–25 August 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet |
6.3% | 5.6–7.0% | 5.5–7.2% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.0–7.8% |
| 11–24 August 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
8.6% | 7.9–9.4% | 7.7–9.6% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.1–10.2% |
| 12–24 August 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.5–8.8% |
| 4–17 August 2025 | Verian SVT |
7.0% | 6.5–7.6% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.2–8.0% | 5.9–8.3% |
| 4–24 June 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
7.3% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.4% | 6.2–8.6% | 5.9–9.0% |
| 3–15 June 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.9% |
| 1–15 June 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
7.4% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.1–9.0% |
| 1–13 June 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
7.4% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.5% | 6.3–8.7% | 6.0–9.1% |
| 26 May–8 June 2025 | Verian SVT |
7.6% | 7.0–8.2% | 6.9–8.4% | 6.7–8.6% | 6.5–8.9% |
| 29 April–28 May 2025 | SCB | 7.1% | 6.8–7.5% | 6.7–7.6% | 6.6–7.7% | 6.4–7.8% |
| 12–26 May 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
6.9% | 6.3–7.6% | 6.1–7.8% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.7–8.3% |
| 2–25 May 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
7.7% | 7.1–8.4% | 6.9–8.6% | 6.8–8.8% | 6.5–9.1% |
| 5–18 May 2025 | Novus TV4 |
7.2% | 6.5–8.0% | 6.3–8.2% | 6.1–8.4% | 5.8–8.8% |
| 21 April–4 May 2025 | Verian SVT |
7.6% | 7.0–8.2% | 6.9–8.4% | 6.7–8.6% | 6.5–8.9% |
| 11–28 April 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
7.6% | 7.0–8.3% | 6.8–8.5% | 6.7–8.6% | 6.4–9.0% |
| 10–22 April 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
7.6% | 7.0–8.3% | 6.8–8.5% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.3–9.1% |
| 7–21 April 2025 | Novus TV4 |
8.1% | 7.4–8.9% | 7.2–9.2% | 7.0–9.4% | 6.7–9.8% |
| 8–21 April 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.9% |
| 24 March–6 April 2025 | Verian SVT |
7.7% | 7.1–8.4% | 7.0–8.5% | 6.8–8.7% | 6.6–9.0% |
| 13–24 March 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
7.5% | 6.9–8.2% | 6.7–8.5% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–9.0% |
| 7–21 March 2025 | Novus | 8.6% | 7.9–9.4% | 7.7–9.6% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.2% |
| 4–16 March 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.8% |
| 24 February–9 March 2025 | Verian SVT |
7.6% | 7.0–8.2% | 6.9–8.4% | 6.7–8.6% | 6.5–8.9% |
| 3–25 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
7.8% | 7.2–8.5% | 7.0–8.6% | 6.9–8.8% | 6.6–9.1% |
| 9–24 February 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
8.0% | 7.3–8.7% | 7.1–8.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% |
| 10–21 February 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten and TV4 |
6.9% | 6.2–7.7% | 6.1–7.9% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.6–8.5% |
| 27 January–9 February 2025 | Verian SVT |
7.4% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.3–8.7% |
| 13 January–2 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 10–27 January 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
7.4% | 6.8–8.1% | 6.6–8.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.9% |
| 14–26 January 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 13–24 January 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
7.7% | 7.1–8.5% | 6.9–8.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.3% |
| 30 December 2024–12 January 2025 | Verian SVT |
7.2% | 6.6–7.8% | 6.5–8.0% | 6.3–8.1% | 6.1–8.4% |
| 5 December 2024–6 January 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
7.1% | 6.4–7.9% | 6.2–8.1% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% |
| 2–16 December 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| 23 November–9 December 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
7.9% | 7.3–8.7% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% |
| 25 November–8 December 2024 | Verian SVT |
7.9% | 7.3–8.6% | 7.2–8.7% | 7.0–8.9% | 6.8–9.2% |
| 5–18 November 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.9% |
| 26 October–11 November 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% |
| 28 October–10 November 2024 | Verian SVT |
7.7% | 7.1–8.4% | 6.9–8.6% | 6.8–8.7% | 6.5–9.0% |
| 7–29 October 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
9.0% | 8.6–9.5% | 8.4–9.6% | 8.3–9.7% | 8.1–9.9% |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
7.1% | 6.4–7.8% | 6.2–8.1% | 6.1–8.3% | 5.8–8.6% |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
8.4% | 7.8–9.1% | 7.6–9.4% | 7.4–9.5% | 7.1–9.9% |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
8.7% | 8.1–9.4% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.7–9.8% | 7.5–10.1% |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
7.8% | 7.1–8.5% | 7.0–8.7% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.5–9.3% |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
8.7% | 8.1–9.4% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.8–9.7% | 7.5–10.1% |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
8.1% | 7.5–8.7% | 7.3–8.9% | 7.2–9.1% | 6.9–9.4% |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
9.9% | 9.1–10.8% | 8.9–11.1% | 8.7–11.3% | 8.3–11.7% |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
8.5% | 7.9–9.2% | 7.7–9.3% | 7.6–9.5% | 7.3–9.8% |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
9.1% | 8.4–9.9% | 8.2–10.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 25% | 98% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 45% | 72% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 23% | 27% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5–24 November 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15–24 November 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–17 November 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 27 October–9 November 2025 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–27 October 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18–27 October 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6–19 October 2025 | Novus TV4 |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–19 October 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 22 September–5 October 2025 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–22 September 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–21 September 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–19 September 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18 August–8 September 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 25 August–7 September 2025 | Verian SVT |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–25 August 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–24 August 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 12–24 August 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–17 August 2025 | Verian SVT |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–24 June 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3–15 June 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 1–15 June 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–13 June 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 26 May–8 June 2025 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 29 April–28 May 2025 | SCB | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 12–26 May 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–25 May 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 5–18 May 2025 | Novus TV4 |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 21 April–4 May 2025 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 11–28 April 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 10–22 April 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–21 April 2025 | Novus TV4 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 8–21 April 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 24 March–6 April 2025 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13–24 March 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–21 March 2025 | Novus | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 4–16 March 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 24 February–9 March 2025 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 3–25 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 9–24 February 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 10–21 February 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten and TV4 |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 27 January–9 February 2025 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13 January–2 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 10–27 January 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–26 January 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13–24 January 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 30 December 2024–12 January 2025 | Verian SVT |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5 December 2024–6 January 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–16 December 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 23 November–9 December 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 25 November–8 December 2024 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 5–18 November 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 26 October–11 November 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 28 October–10 November 2024 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 7–29 October 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 32% | 100% | |
| 2 | 68% | 68% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |