Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 32.9% | 31.4–34.4% | 31.0–34.8% | 30.6–35.2% | 29.9–36.1% |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs Posten |
33.1% | 31.8–34.4% | 31.5–34.8% | 31.2–35.1% | 30.5–35.8% |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
33.0% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.3–36.9% |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
32.0% | 30.8–33.2% | 30.5–33.5% | 30.2–33.8% | 29.7–34.4% |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
32.9% | 31.8–34.0% | 31.5–34.3% | 31.2–34.6% | 30.7–35.1% |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
33.5% | 32.3–34.7% | 32.0–35.1% | 31.7–35.4% | 31.1–35.9% |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
33.0% | 31.9–34.0% | 31.6–34.4% | 31.4–34.6% | 30.8–35.1% |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
32.7% | 31.6–33.8% | 31.3–34.1% | 31.1–34.3% | 30.6–34.9% |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
31.0% | 29.7–32.3% | 29.3–32.7% | 29.0–33.0% | 28.4–33.6% |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
32.6% | 31.6–33.7% | 31.3–34.0% | 31.0–34.3% | 30.5–34.8% |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
33.0% | 31.8–34.2% | 31.5–34.6% | 31.2–34.9% | 30.7–35.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 10% | 98% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 26% | 88% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 33% | 62% | Median |
| 33.5–34.5% | 21% | 29% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 6% | 8% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs Posten |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
7 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 7 | 53% | 99.4% | Median |
| 8 | 46% | 46% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |