Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 34.3% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.5–36.4% | 31.1–36.8% | 30.4–37.5% |
| 2–27 October 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
35.4% | 34.0–36.8% | 33.7–37.1% | 33.3–37.5% | 32.7–38.1% |
| 18–27 October 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
32.6% | 31.3–34.0% | 30.9–34.4% | 30.6–34.7% | 29.9–35.4% |
| 6–19 October 2025 | Novus TV4 |
34.9% | 33.7–36.2% | 33.3–36.5% | 33.0–36.8% | 32.4–37.4% |
| 7–19 October 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
33.0% | 31.6–34.4% | 31.2–34.8% | 30.8–35.2% | 30.2–35.9% |
| 22 September–5 October 2025 | Verian SVT |
34.8% | 33.7–35.9% | 33.4–36.2% | 33.2–36.5% | 32.7–37.0% |
| 11–22 September 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
34.1% | 32.8–35.5% | 32.4–35.8% | 32.1–36.2% | 31.5–36.8% |
| 9–21 September 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
35.0% | 33.1–37.0% | 32.6–37.5% | 32.1–38.0% | 31.2–39.0% |
| 8–19 September 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
34.6% | 33.3–35.9% | 32.9–36.3% | 32.6–36.6% | 32.0–37.3% |
| 18 August–8 September 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
36.0% | 34.7–37.4% | 34.3–37.8% | 34.0–38.1% | 33.3–38.7% |
| 25 August–7 September 2025 | Verian SVT |
34.2% | 33.1–35.3% | 32.8–35.6% | 32.6–35.9% | 32.1–36.4% |
| 14–25 August 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet |
33.5% | 32.2–34.9% | 31.8–35.3% | 31.5–35.6% | 30.9–36.2% |
| 11–24 August 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
34.1% | 32.8–35.4% | 32.4–35.8% | 32.1–36.1% | 31.5–36.7% |
| 12–24 August 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
34.0% | 32.5–35.5% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.7–36.3% | 31.0–37.1% |
| 4–17 August 2025 | Verian SVT |
33.9% | 32.8–35.0% | 32.5–35.3% | 32.3–35.6% | 31.8–36.1% |
| 4–24 June 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
36.7% | 35.3–38.2% | 34.9–38.6% | 34.5–38.9% | 33.9–39.6% |
| 3–15 June 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
33.0% | 31.5–34.6% | 31.1–35.0% | 30.8–35.4% | 30.1–36.1% |
| 1–15 June 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
33.5% | 32.2–34.8% | 31.8–35.2% | 31.5–35.5% | 30.9–36.2% |
| 1–13 June 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
35.3% | 33.9–36.7% | 33.5–37.1% | 33.2–37.5% | 32.5–38.2% |
| 26 May–8 June 2025 | Verian SVT |
34.7% | 33.6–35.8% | 33.3–36.1% | 33.1–36.4% | 32.6–36.9% |
| 29 April–28 May 2025 | SCB | 36.2% | 35.6–36.8% | 35.4–37.0% | 35.2–37.2% | 34.9–37.5% |
| 12–26 May 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
34.7% | 33.5–35.9% | 33.2–36.3% | 32.9–36.6% | 32.3–37.2% |
| 2–25 May 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
36.0% | 34.8–37.2% | 34.5–37.5% | 34.2–37.8% | 33.7–38.3% |
| 5–18 May 2025 | Novus TV4 |
34.5% | 33.2–35.9% | 32.8–36.3% | 32.5–36.6% | 31.8–37.3% |
| 21 April–4 May 2025 | Verian SVT |
35.6% | 34.5–36.7% | 34.2–37.0% | 34.0–37.3% | 33.4–37.8% |
| 11–28 April 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
35.4% | 34.2–36.5% | 33.9–36.9% | 33.6–37.2% | 33.1–37.7% |
| 10–22 April 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
33.6% | 32.4–34.8% | 32.1–35.2% | 31.8–35.5% | 31.2–36.1% |
| 7–21 April 2025 | Novus TV4 |
36.7% | 35.4–38.1% | 35.0–38.5% | 34.7–38.8% | 34.0–39.5% |
| 8–21 April 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
37.0% | 35.5–38.6% | 35.1–39.0% | 34.7–39.4% | 34.0–40.1% |
| 24 March–6 April 2025 | Verian SVT |
35.5% | 34.4–36.6% | 34.1–36.9% | 33.9–37.2% | 33.3–37.7% |
| 13–24 March 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
33.9% | 32.7–35.2% | 32.3–35.5% | 32.0–35.8% | 31.4–36.4% |
| 7–21 March 2025 | Novus | 34.6% | 33.4–35.9% | 33.0–36.3% | 32.7–36.6% | 32.1–37.2% |
| 4–16 March 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
35.0% | 33.5–36.5% | 33.1–36.9% | 32.8–37.3% | 32.1–38.0% |
| 24 February–9 March 2025 | Verian SVT |
34.2% | 33.1–35.3% | 32.8–35.6% | 32.5–35.8% | 32.0–36.4% |
| 3–25 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
36.3% | 35.2–37.4% | 34.9–37.8% | 34.6–38.0% | 34.1–38.6% |
| 9–24 February 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
32.8% | 31.6–34.0% | 31.3–34.4% | 31.0–34.7% | 30.4–35.3% |
| 10–21 February 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten and TV4 |
35.4% | 34.0–36.7% | 33.7–37.1% | 33.4–37.5% | 32.7–38.1% |
| 27 January–9 February 2025 | Verian SVT |
33.7% | 32.6–34.8% | 32.3–35.1% | 32.1–35.3% | 31.6–35.9% |
| 13 January–2 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
35.3% | 34.2–36.4% | 33.9–36.8% | 33.6–37.1% | 33.0–37.6% |
| 10–27 January 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
33.5% | 32.3–34.7% | 32.0–35.1% | 31.7–35.4% | 31.1–36.0% |
| 14–26 January 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–37.9% |
| 13–24 January 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
33.8% | 32.6–35.1% | 32.2–35.4% | 31.9–35.7% | 31.3–36.4% |
| 30 December 2024–12 January 2025 | Verian SVT |
33.7% | 32.6–34.8% | 32.3–35.1% | 32.1–35.4% | 31.6–35.9% |
| 5 December 2024–6 January 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
33.7% | 32.4–35.2% | 32.1–35.6% | 31.7–35.9% | 31.1–36.6% |
| 2–16 December 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
31.0% | 29.6–32.5% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.8–33.3% | 28.2–34.0% |
| 23 November–9 December 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
32.6% | 31.4–33.8% | 31.0–34.2% | 30.8–34.5% | 30.2–35.1% |
| 25 November–8 December 2024 | Verian SVT |
33.3% | 32.2–34.4% | 31.9–34.7% | 31.7–34.9% | 31.2–35.5% |
| 5–18 November 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
34.0% | 32.5–35.5% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.7–36.3% | 31.0–37.1% |
| 26 October–11 November 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
32.0% | 30.8–33.2% | 30.5–33.6% | 30.2–33.9% | 29.7–34.5% |
| 28 October–10 November 2024 | Verian SVT |
34.5% | 33.4–35.6% | 33.1–36.0% | 32.8–36.2% | 32.3–36.8% |
| 7–29 October 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
32.6% | 31.9–33.3% | 31.7–33.5% | 31.5–33.7% | 31.1–34.1% |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
33.1% | 31.8–34.4% | 31.5–34.8% | 31.2–35.1% | 30.5–35.8% |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
33.0% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.3–36.9% |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
32.0% | 30.8–33.2% | 30.5–33.5% | 30.2–33.8% | 29.7–34.4% |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
32.9% | 31.8–34.0% | 31.5–34.3% | 31.2–34.6% | 30.7–35.1% |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
33.5% | 32.3–34.7% | 32.0–35.1% | 31.7–35.4% | 31.1–35.9% |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
33.0% | 31.9–34.0% | 31.6–34.4% | 31.4–34.6% | 30.8–35.1% |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
32.7% | 31.6–33.8% | 31.3–34.1% | 31.1–34.3% | 30.6–34.9% |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
31.0% | 29.7–32.3% | 29.3–32.7% | 29.0–33.0% | 28.4–33.6% |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
32.6% | 31.6–33.7% | 31.3–34.0% | 31.0–34.3% | 30.5–34.8% |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
33.0% | 31.8–34.2% | 31.5–34.6% | 31.2–34.9% | 30.7–35.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 12% | 95% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 17% | 83% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 23% | 66% | Median |
| 34.5–35.5% | 25% | 43% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 14% | 18% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 |
| 2–27 October 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 18–27 October 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 6–19 October 2025 | Novus TV4 |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 7–19 October 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 22 September–5 October 2025 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 11–22 September 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 9–21 September 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 8–19 September 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
8 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 18 August–8 September 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8 | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 25 August–7 September 2025 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 14–25 August 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 11–24 August 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 12–24 August 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 4–17 August 2025 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 4–24 June 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 3–15 June 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 |
| 1–15 June 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 1–13 June 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
8 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 26 May–8 June 2025 | Verian SVT |
8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 |
| 29 April–28 May 2025 | SCB | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 12–26 May 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 2–25 May 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 5–18 May 2025 | Novus TV4 |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 21 April–4 May 2025 | Verian SVT |
8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 |
| 11–28 April 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 10–22 April 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 7–21 April 2025 | Novus TV4 |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 8–21 April 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 24 March–6 April 2025 | Verian SVT |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 13–24 March 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 7–21 March 2025 | Novus | 8 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 4–16 March 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 24 February–9 March 2025 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 3–25 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 9–24 February 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 10–21 February 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten and TV4 |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 27 January–9 February 2025 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 13 January–2 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 |
| 10–27 January 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 14–26 January 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 13–24 January 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 30 December 2024–12 January 2025 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 5 December 2024–6 January 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 2–16 December 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 |
| 23 November–9 December 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 25 November–8 December 2024 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 5–18 November 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 |
| 26 October–11 November 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
7 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 |
| 28 October–10 November 2024 | Verian SVT |
8 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 7–29 October 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
7 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 7 | 37% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 61% | 63% | Median |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |