Sverigedemokraterna (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 20.1% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.3–21.8% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.5–23.1% |
| 5–18 November 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
21.0% | 19.7–22.3% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.1–23.0% | 18.5–23.7% |
| 26 October–11 November 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
19.7% | 18.7–20.7% | 18.4–21.0% | 18.2–21.3% | 17.7–21.8% |
| 28 October–10 November 2024 | Verian SVT |
18.9% | 18.0–19.8% | 17.8–20.1% | 17.5–20.3% | 17.1–20.8% |
| 7–29 October 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
20.6% | 20.0–21.2% | 19.8–21.4% | 19.6–21.6% | 19.4–21.9% |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs Posten |
20.2% | 19.1–21.4% | 18.8–21.7% | 18.5–22.0% | 18.0–22.5% |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
19.2% | 18.2–20.2% | 18.0–20.5% | 17.7–20.8% | 17.3–21.2% |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
19.2% | 18.3–20.1% | 18.0–20.4% | 17.8–20.7% | 17.4–21.1% |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
19.2% | 18.2–20.2% | 17.9–20.5% | 17.7–20.8% | 17.2–21.3% |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
18.7% | 17.8–19.6% | 17.6–19.8% | 17.3–20.1% | 16.9–20.5% |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
19.9% | 19.0–20.8% | 18.7–21.1% | 18.5–21.3% | 18.1–21.8% |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
18.6% | 17.5–19.7% | 17.2–20.0% | 17.0–20.3% | 16.5–20.9% |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
18.9% | 18.0–19.8% | 17.7–20.0% | 17.5–20.3% | 17.1–20.7% |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
21.3% | 20.3–22.3% | 20.0–22.6% | 19.7–22.9% | 19.3–23.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sverigedemokraterna (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 23% | 92% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 34% | 69% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 27% | 35% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 7% | 8% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 5–18 November 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 26 October–11 November 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 28 October–10 November 2024 | Verian SVT |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 7–29 October 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs Posten |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–6 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sverigedemokraterna (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 48% | 100% | |
| 5 | 52% | 52% | Median |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |