Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5.6% | 4.3–7.4% | 4.0–7.8% | 3.9–8.1% | 3.6–8.6% |
| 2–27 October 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
4.7% | 4.1–5.4% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.6–6.0% |
| 18–27 October 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
7.4% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.3–8.6% | 6.0–9.0% |
| 6–19 October 2025 | Novus TV4 |
4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.1% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% |
| 7–19 October 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.7–7.6% |
| 22 September–5 October 2025 | Verian SVT |
5.8% | 5.3–6.4% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.7% | 4.8–6.9% |
| 11–22 September 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
6.5% | 5.8–7.2% | 5.7–7.4% | 5.5–7.6% | 5.2–8.0% |
| 9–21 September 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 8–19 September 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
4.6% | 4.1–5.2% | 3.9–5.4% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% |
| 18 August–8 September 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
6.3% | 5.6–7.0% | 5.5–7.2% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.0–7.8% |
| 25 August–7 September 2025 | Verian SVT |
5.9% | 5.4–6.5% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.1% |
| 14–25 August 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet |
7.3% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.5% | 5.9–8.9% |
| 11–24 August 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
4.9% | 4.3–5.5% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.8–6.2% |
| 12–24 August 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% |
| 4–17 August 2025 | Verian SVT |
6.3% | 5.8–6.9% | 5.6–7.1% | 5.5–7.2% | 5.3–7.5% |
| 4–24 June 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
5.3% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.4–6.4% | 4.1–6.8% |
| 3–15 June 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 1–15 June 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
6.3% | 5.7–7.0% | 5.5–7.2% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.0–7.8% |
| 1–13 June 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.6–6.6% | 4.3–7.0% |
| 26 May–8 June 2025 | Verian SVT |
5.1% | 4.6–5.6% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.4–5.9% | 4.2–6.2% |
| 29 April–28 May 2025 | SCB | 6.5% | 6.2–6.8% | 6.1–7.0% | 6.0–7.0% | 5.9–7.2% |
| 12–26 May 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
6.4% | 5.8–7.1% | 5.6–7.2% | 5.5–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% |
| 2–25 May 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
5.6% | 5.1–6.2% | 4.9–6.4% | 4.8–6.5% | 4.6–6.8% |
| 5–18 May 2025 | Novus TV4 |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| 21 April–4 May 2025 | Verian SVT |
5.7% | 5.2–6.2% | 5.1–6.4% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.7–6.8% |
| 11–28 April 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
5.7% | 5.2–6.3% | 5.0–6.5% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.7–6.9% |
| 10–22 April 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
6.6% | 6.0–7.3% | 5.9–7.5% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% |
| 7–21 April 2025 | Novus TV4 |
4.6% | 4.1–5.3% | 3.9–5.4% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.5–5.9% |
| 8–21 April 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.2% | 4.6–7.7% |
| 24 March–6 April 2025 | Verian SVT |
5.9% | 5.4–6.5% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.1% |
| 13–24 March 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
6.6% | 6.0–7.3% | 5.8–7.5% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% |
| 7–21 March 2025 | Novus | 5.3% | 4.7–5.9% | 4.6–6.1% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.2–6.6% |
| 4–16 March 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.8–6.5% |
| 24 February–9 March 2025 | Verian SVT |
6.2% | 5.7–6.8% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.2–7.4% |
| 3–25 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
5.6% | 5.1–6.2% | 5.0–6.4% | 4.8–6.5% | 4.6–6.8% |
| 9–24 February 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
6.6% | 6.0–7.3% | 5.8–7.5% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% |
| 10–21 February 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten and TV4 |
5.8% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.7% | 4.9–6.9% | 4.6–7.3% |
| 27 January–9 February 2025 | Verian SVT |
6.2% | 5.7–6.8% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.2–7.4% |
| 13 January–2 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
5.8% | 5.3–6.4% | 5.1–6.6% | 5.0–6.7% | 4.8–7.0% |
| 10–27 January 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
6.1% | 5.5–6.8% | 5.4–7.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% |
| 14–26 January 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 13–24 January 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.2–6.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.3% |
| 30 December 2024–12 January 2025 | Verian SVT |
6.1% | 5.6–6.7% | 5.4–6.8% | 5.3–7.0% | 5.1–7.3% |
| 5 December 2024–6 January 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
6.2% | 5.5–6.9% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.2–7.3% | 4.9–7.7% |
| 2–16 December 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.1% | 5.0–7.3% | 4.6–7.7% |
| 23 November–9 December 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
7.4% | 6.8–8.1% | 6.6–8.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.9% |
| 25 November–8 December 2024 | Verian SVT |
6.7% | 6.2–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.9–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| 5–18 November 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% |
| 26 October–11 November 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
7.5% | 6.9–8.2% | 6.7–8.4% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.2–9.0% |
| 28 October–10 November 2024 | Verian SVT |
5.9% | 5.4–6.5% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.1% |
| 7–29 October 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
6.0% | 5.6–6.4% | 5.5–6.5% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
6.2% | 5.6–6.9% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.0–7.7% |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
6.9% | 6.3–7.6% | 6.1–7.8% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.7–8.3% |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
5.9% | 5.4–6.5% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.1% |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
6.8% | 6.2–7.5% | 6.0–7.7% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.6–8.2% |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.1% |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
6.1% | 5.6–6.7% | 5.4–6.8% | 5.3–7.0% | 5.1–7.3% |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
7.2% | 6.5–8.0% | 6.3–8.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 5.9–8.8% |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
5.6% | 5.1–6.1% | 5.0–6.3% | 4.8–6.4% | 4.6–6.7% |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
5.8% | 5.2–6.4% | 5.1–6.6% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 20% | 99.7% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 28% | 80% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 29% | 52% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 15% | 23% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 8% | 8% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 2–27 October 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 18–27 October 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6–19 October 2025 | Novus TV4 |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 7–19 October 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 22 September–5 October 2025 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 11–22 September 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–21 September 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 8–19 September 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 18 August–8 September 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 25 August–7 September 2025 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–25 August 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–24 August 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 12–24 August 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 4–17 August 2025 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–24 June 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 3–15 June 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
| 1–15 June 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–13 June 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 26 May–8 June 2025 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 29 April–28 May 2025 | SCB | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12–26 May 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–25 May 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 5–18 May 2025 | Novus TV4 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 21 April–4 May 2025 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 11–28 April 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–22 April 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–21 April 2025 | Novus TV4 |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 8–21 April 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 24 March–6 April 2025 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13–24 March 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–21 March 2025 | Novus | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 4–16 March 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
| 24 February–9 March 2025 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3–25 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 9–24 February 2025 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–21 February 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten and TV4 |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 27 January–9 February 2025 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13 January–2 February 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–27 January 2025 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–26 January 2025 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13–24 January 2025 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 30 December 2024–12 January 2025 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5 December 2024–6 January 2025 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2–16 December 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 November–9 December 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 25 November–8 December 2024 | Verian SVT |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5–18 November 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 26 October–11 November 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 28 October–10 November 2024 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–29 October 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–20 October 2024 | Novus Göteborgs-Posten |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–20 October 2024 | Ipsos Dagens Nyheter |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 22 September–8 October 2024 | Demoskop Svenska Dagbladet |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 September–6 October 2024 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 26 August–22 September 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 26 August–8 September 2024 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 29 July–11 August 2024 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5–26 June 2024 | Indikator Sveriges Radio |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3–16 June 2024 | Verian SVT |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 2–11 June 2024 | Demoskop Aftonbladet and Svenska Dagbladet |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 77% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 19% | 19% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |