Chez Nous
Voting Intentions
Last result: 2.8% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3.1% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.8–4.4% |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
3.2% | 2.7–3.7% | 2.6–3.9% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.3–4.3% |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Chez Nous.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.5–1.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 15% | 99.9% | |
2.5–3.5% | 70% | 85% | Last Result, Median |
3.5–4.5% | 15% | 15% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Chez Nous.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 72% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
1 | 0.8% | 28% | |
2 | 26% | 27% | |
3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
4 | 0% | 0% |