Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) MR PS LE PTB ECOLO CN DÉFI CC RMC
9 June 2024 General Election 29.6%
26
23.2%
19
20.6%
17
12.1%
8
7.0%
5
2.8%
0
2.7%
0
1.6%
0
0.3%
0
N/A Poll Average 22–27%
18–23
23–28%
18–23
17–22%
13–19
15–20%
11–15
6–9%
1–7
2–4%
0–2
2–4%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3–24 March 2025 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT
22–26%
19–22
22–26%
18–23
18–22%
15–19
15–18%
12–15
6–8%
1–5
2–4%
0–2
2–4%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
22–28%
18–23
23–29%
18–23
16–21%
13–17
15–20%
11–16
6–10%
2–7
2–4%
0–2
2–4%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9 June 2024 General Election 29.6%
26
23.2%
19
20.6%
17
12.1%
8
7.0%
5
2.8%
0
2.7%
0
1.6%
0
0.3%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mouvement Réformateur 29.6% 24.3% 22.9–26.1% 22.5–26.6% 22.2–27.1% 21.5–28.1%
Parti Socialiste 23.2% 24.9% 23.4–27.0% 23.0–27.6% 22.7–28.1% 22.0–29.1%
Les Engagés 20.6% 19.4% 17.5–20.9% 17.0–21.3% 16.6–21.6% 15.8–22.3%
Parti du Travail de Belgique 12.1% 17.0% 15.7–18.5% 15.4–19.0% 15.1–19.5% 14.5–20.3%
Ecolo 7.0% 7.2% 6.2–8.6% 6.0–9.0% 5.8–9.3% 5.4–10.0%
Chez Nous 2.8% 3.1% 2.4–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.1–4.0% 1.8–4.4%
DéFI 2.7% 2.9% 2.3–3.5% 2.1–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.7–4.2%
Collectif Citoyen 1.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Reprise en Main Citoyenne 0.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Mouvement Réformateur

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0.5% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 5% 99.4%  
22.5–23.5% 20% 94%  
23.5–24.5% 32% 75% Median
24.5–25.5% 25% 43%  
25.5–26.5% 12% 18%  
26.5–27.5% 4% 6%  
27.5–28.5% 1.1% 1.3%  
28.5–29.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
29.5–30.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0.1% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 2% 99.9%  
22.5–23.5% 11% 98% Last Result
23.5–24.5% 26% 87%  
24.5–25.5% 27% 61% Median
25.5–26.5% 19% 34%  
26.5–27.5% 10% 16%  
27.5–28.5% 4% 5%  
28.5–29.5% 1.1% 1.4%  
29.5–30.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
30.5–31.5% 0% 0%  

Les Engagés

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0.3% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 2% 99.7%  
16.5–17.5% 8% 98%  
17.5–18.5% 17% 90%  
18.5–19.5% 27% 73% Median
19.5–20.5% 29% 46%  
20.5–21.5% 14% 17% Last Result
21.5–22.5% 3% 3%  
22.5–23.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11.5–12.5% 0% 100% Last Result
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0.5% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 6% 99.5%  
15.5–16.5% 27% 93%  
16.5–17.5% 36% 67% Median
17.5–18.5% 21% 31%  
18.5–19.5% 8% 10%  
19.5–20.5% 2% 2%  
20.5–21.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 0%  

Ecolo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.9% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 23% 99.1%  
6.5–7.5% 41% 76% Last Result, Median
7.5–8.5% 25% 36%  
8.5–9.5% 9% 11%  
9.5–10.5% 1.4% 1.5%  
10.5–11.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0%  

Chez Nous

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chez Nous page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.5–1.5% 0.1% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 15% 99.9%  
2.5–3.5% 70% 85% Last Result, Median
3.5–4.5% 15% 15%  
4.5–5.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  

DéFI

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.5–1.5% 0.1% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 21% 99.9%  
2.5–3.5% 70% 79% Last Result, Median
3.5–4.5% 9% 9%  
4.5–5.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Mouvement Réformateur 26 20 19–22 19–22 18–23 17–24
Parti Socialiste 19 20 19–23 19–23 18–23 17–24
Les Engagés 17 15 15–18 14–19 13–19 12–20
Parti du Travail de Belgique 8 14 13–15 12–15 11–15 11–16
Ecolo 5 5 2–5 2–6 1–7 1–7
Chez Nous 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–3
DéFI 0 0 0 0 0 0
Collectif Citoyen 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Reprise en Main Citoyenne 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Mouvement Réformateur

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mouvement Réformateur page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.9% 100%  
18 3% 99.1%  
19 11% 96%  
20 45% 85% Median
21 27% 40%  
22 10% 14%  
23 3% 4%  
24 0.7% 0.8%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Socialiste page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.5% 100%  
18 4% 99.5%  
19 36% 95% Last Result
20 18% 59% Median
21 15% 41%  
22 14% 26%  
23 10% 11%  
24 0.8% 1.1%  
25 0.3% 0.4%  
26 0% 0%  

Les Engagés

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Engagés page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.1%  
14 7% 97%  
15 48% 90% Median
16 12% 42%  
17 17% 31% Last Result
18 6% 13%  
19 6% 7%  
20 1.1% 1.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti du Travail de Belgique page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100% Last Result
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 3% 100%  
12 6% 97%  
13 13% 91%  
14 65% 77% Median
15 11% 12%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Ecolo

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 4% 100%  
2 13% 96%  
3 15% 83%  
4 12% 68%  
5 50% 56% Last Result, Median
6 2% 6%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Chez Nous

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chez Nous page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.8% 28%  
2 26% 27%  
3 0.9% 0.9%  
4 0% 0%  

DéFI

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Collectif Citoyen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Collectif Citoyen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Reprise en Main Citoyenne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reprise en Main Citoyenne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Parti Socialiste – Les Engagés – Parti du Travail de Belgique 44 50 100% 48–52 47–53 47–53 46–54
Mouvement Réformateur – Parti Socialiste – Ecolo 50 45 100% 42–47 41–48 41–48 40–49
Mouvement Réformateur – Parti Socialiste 45 41 98.5% 39–43 38–44 38–44 37–45
Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Ecolo 48 40 96% 38–42 38–42 37–43 36–44
Parti Socialiste – Les Engagés – Ecolo 41 40 97% 38–42 38–43 37–43 37–44
Parti Socialiste – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Ecolo 32 38 68% 36–41 35–41 34–42 33–43
Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés 43 36 20% 34–38 34–39 33–40 32–41
Parti Socialiste – Les Engagés 36 36 22% 34–38 34–39 33–39 32–40
Parti Socialiste – Parti du Travail de Belgique 27 34 2% 32–36 32–37 31–37 30–38
Mouvement Réformateur – Ecolo 31 25 0% 22–27 22–27 21–28 21–29
Parti Socialiste – Ecolo 24 24 0% 22–27 21–28 21–28 20–29
Parti du Travail de Belgique – Ecolo 13 18 0% 16–19 15–20 15–21 14–21

Parti Socialiste – Les Engagés – Parti du Travail de Belgique

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100% Last Result
45 0.1% 100%  
46 2% 99.8%  
47 4% 98%  
48 12% 94%  
49 18% 82% Median
50 31% 64%  
51 15% 32%  
52 12% 17%  
53 5% 6%  
54 0.9% 1.0%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Mouvement Réformateur – Parti Socialiste – Ecolo

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 1.0% 99.9%  
41 4% 98.9%  
42 7% 95%  
43 9% 88%  
44 21% 79%  
45 16% 58% Median
46 27% 42%  
47 10% 15%  
48 3% 5%  
49 2% 2%  
50 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Mouvement Réformateur – Parti Socialiste

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 1.2% 99.7%  
38 4% 98.5% Majority
39 20% 95%  
40 21% 75% Median
41 27% 55%  
42 14% 28%  
43 8% 14%  
44 4% 6%  
45 0.9% 1.2% Last Result
46 0.2% 0.2%  
47 0% 0%  

Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés – Ecolo

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 1.0% 99.9%  
37 3% 98.9%  
38 9% 96% Majority
39 16% 87%  
40 26% 71% Median
41 17% 45%  
42 23% 28%  
43 4% 5%  
44 0.9% 1.1%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Les Engagés – Ecolo

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.4% 99.9%  
37 3% 99.6%  
38 7% 97% Majority
39 16% 90%  
40 32% 74% Median
41 25% 42% Last Result
42 11% 17%  
43 5% 6%  
44 0.9% 1.0%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Parti du Travail de Belgique – Ecolo

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100% Last Result
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 2% 99.5%  
35 6% 97%  
36 11% 91%  
37 13% 80%  
38 22% 68% Majority
39 18% 46% Median
40 16% 27%  
41 8% 11%  
42 3% 4%  
43 0.7% 0.8%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Mouvement Réformateur – Les Engagés

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.3% 100%  
32 1.1% 99.7%  
33 3% 98.6%  
34 12% 95%  
35 21% 84% Median
36 19% 63%  
37 24% 44%  
38 11% 20% Majority
39 5% 9%  
40 4% 5%  
41 0.9% 1.0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Les Engagés

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 1.0% 99.9%  
33 3% 98.9%  
34 11% 96%  
35 20% 86% Median
36 26% 65% Last Result
37 17% 39%  
38 16% 22% Majority
39 4% 6%  
40 1.3% 1.5%  
41 0.2% 0.2%  
42 0% 0%  

Parti Socialiste – Parti du Travail de Belgique

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100% Last Result
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.5% 100%  
31 4% 99.5%  
32 8% 96%  
33 30% 88%  
34 18% 58% Median
35 19% 39%  
36 12% 21%  
37 7% 9%  
38 2% 2% Majority
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Mouvement Réformateur – Ecolo

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.2% 100%  
21 2% 99.7%  
22 8% 97%  
23 17% 89%  
24 18% 72%  
25 31% 54% Median
26 13% 24%  
27 8% 11%  
28 2% 3%  
29 0.5% 0.5%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0% Last Result

Parti Socialiste – Ecolo

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 2% 99.9%  
21 6% 98%  
22 8% 92%  
23 13% 84%  
24 23% 71% Last Result
25 18% 48% Median
26 14% 30%  
27 9% 16%  
28 5% 6%  
29 0.7% 0.9%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

Parti du Travail de Belgique – Ecolo

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100% Last Result
14 1.2% 99.7%  
15 5% 98.5%  
16 13% 94%  
17 20% 81%  
18 17% 61%  
19 34% 44% Median
20 6% 10%  
21 3% 3%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Technical Information