Ecolo
Voting Intentions
Last result: 7.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.4% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.7% |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.1–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
6.6% | 6.0–7.4% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.8% | 5.3–8.2% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Ecolo.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 13% | 99.4% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 42% | 87% | Last Result, Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 35% | 45% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 9% | 10% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 5 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–6 | 1–6 |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–6 | 1–6 |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 3–5 | 2–6 | 2–7 | 1–7 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 2–8 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
3 | 2–5 | 1–5 | 1–5 | 1–5 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 3–6 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 1–7 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 5–6 | 3–7 | 2–7 | 1–8 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 | 1–8 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Ecolo.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 7% | 96% | |
| 3 | 18% | 89% | |
| 4 | 13% | 70% | |
| 5 | 55% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |