Ecolo
Voting Intentions
Last result: 14.5% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12.4% | 11.0–13.9% | 10.6–14.3% | 10.3–14.7% | 9.7–15.4% |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
12.7% | 11.5–14.2% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–15.0% | 10.2–15.7% |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11.9% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.0–14.1% | 9.5–14.8% |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
13.7% | 12.4–15.2% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.0% | 11.1–16.8% |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
11.7% | 9.9–13.9% | 9.4–14.5% | 9.0–15.1% | 8.2–16.2% |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.2–18.0% |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12.7% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
11.4% | 9.7–13.4% | 9.3–13.9% | 8.9–14.4% | 8.1–15.5% |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.1% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.6% | 12.4–15.2% | 12.0–15.6% | 11.7–15.9% | 11.1–16.7% |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.4% | 13.0–15.9% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.3–16.7% | 11.7–17.4% |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.0% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 13.0–17.4% | 12.4–18.2% |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.7–18.7% |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16.7% | 15.2–18.3% | 14.8–18.8% | 14.4–19.2% | 13.7–20.0% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.0% | 13.6–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.2% |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16.4% | 14.9–18.0% | 14.5–18.5% | 14.2–18.9% | 13.5–19.7% |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.6% | 14.2–17.1% | 13.8–17.6% | 13.5–18.0% | 12.8–18.7% |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17.8% | 16.3–19.4% | 15.9–19.9% | 15.5–20.3% | 14.8–21.1% |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
15.4% | 12.9–18.4% | 12.2–19.3% | 11.6–20.1% | 10.5–21.6% |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.1% | 13.7–16.7% | 13.3–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.3% |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.7–18.7% |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17.2% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.3–19.3% | 15.0–19.7% | 14.3–20.5% |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16.2% | 14.8–17.8% | 14.4–18.3% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.4–19.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Ecolo.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 18% | 96% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 33% | 77% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 29% | 44% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 12% | 15% | Last Result |
| 14.5–15.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 12 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–13 |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
9 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 6–13 |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 12–13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 9–14 |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–13 |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 7–13 |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
9 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 6–13 |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 12–13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–15 |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–18 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 9–15 |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–18 |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
13 | 11–15 | 9–17 | 9–18 | 8–19 |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 10–15 |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–18 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Ecolo.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 10% | 94% | |
| 9 | 21% | 84% | |
| 10 | 25% | 63% | Median |
| 11 | 14% | 37% | |
| 12 | 21% | 24% | Last Result |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |