Les Engagés

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 20.6% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 18.2% 16.7–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 15.9–20.7% 15.2–21.5%
16–23 September 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 18.2% 16.7–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 15.9–20.7% 15.2–21.5%
27 May–3 June 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 19.2% 17.7–20.9% 17.2–21.4% 16.9–21.8% 16.2–22.6%
3–24 March 2025 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT		 20.0% 18.9–21.2% 18.6–21.6% 18.3–21.8% 17.8–22.4%
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 18.5% 17.0–20.1% 16.6–20.6% 16.2–21.0% 15.5–21.8%
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 20.6% 19.0–22.3% 18.6–22.8% 18.2–23.2% 17.5–24.1%
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 22.6% 21.0–24.4% 20.5–24.9% 20.1–25.3% 19.3–26.2%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Les Engagés.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13.5–14.5% 0.1% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 1.0% 99.9%  
15.5–16.5% 7% 98.9%  
16.5–17.5% 20% 92%  
17.5–18.5% 32% 72% Median
18.5–19.5% 26% 40%  
19.5–20.5% 11% 15%  
20.5–21.5% 3% 3% Last Result
21.5–22.5% 0.4% 0.5%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 17 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 15 13–15 13–16 12–17 12–18
16–23 September 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15 13–15 13–16 12–17 12–18
27 May–3 June 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15 15–17 14–18 14–19 13–19
3–24 March 2025 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT		 17 15–19 15–19 15–19 15–20
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15 14–16 13–17 13–17 12–19
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 17 15–19 15–19 15–19 15–21
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 19 18–21 17–21 16–22 15–22

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Les Engagés.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 3% 99.9%  
13 7% 97%  
14 16% 90%  
15 66% 73% Median
16 4% 7%  
17 2% 3% Last Result
18 0.7% 1.0%  
19 0.4% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%