Les Engagés
Voting Intentions
Last result: 20.6% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19.7% | 18.1–21.1% | 17.7–21.5% | 17.2–21.8% | 16.5–22.5% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19.2% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.2–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.6% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.6% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20.6% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.5–24.1% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
22.6% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.5–24.9% | 20.1–25.3% | 19.3–26.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Les Engagés.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 12% | 96% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 28% | 83% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 33% | 55% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 18% | 22% | Last Result |
| 21.5–22.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 17 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 15 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 13–20 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–19 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–19 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–21 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Les Engagés.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 15 | 49% | 97% | Median |
| 16 | 14% | 48% | |
| 17 | 19% | 34% | Last Result |
| 18 | 7% | 15% | |
| 19 | 7% | 8% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |