Les Engagés
Voting Intentions
Last result: 20.6% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 20.6% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.5–24.1% |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20.6% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.5–24.1% |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
22.6% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.5–24.9% | 20.1–25.3% | 19.3–26.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Les Engagés.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
17.5–18.5% | 4% | 99.4% | |
18.5–19.5% | 15% | 95% | |
19.5–20.5% | 28% | 80% | |
20.5–21.5% | 29% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
21.5–22.5% | 17% | 24% | |
22.5–23.5% | 6% | 7% | |
23.5–24.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
24.5–25.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 17 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–21 |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–21 |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Les Engagés.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
15 | 30% | 99.6% | |
16 | 14% | 69% | |
17 | 18% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
18 | 14% | 37% | |
19 | 21% | 23% | |
20 | 2% | 2% | |
21 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
22 | 0% | 0% |