Parti du Travail de Belgique
Voting Intentions
Last result: 12.1% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19.6% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.6–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.5–22.9% |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.6–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.5–22.9% |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18.4% | 16.9–20.1% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.0% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
16.6% | 15.6–17.8% | 15.3–18.1% | 15.1–18.4% | 14.6–18.9% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17.4% | 15.9–19.0% | 15.5–19.5% | 15.2–19.9% | 14.5–20.7% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12.9% | 11.6–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.1% | 10.4–15.9% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.6–16.1% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti du Travail de Belgique.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 15% | 95% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 29% | 80% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 29% | 51% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 16% | 22% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 8 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 11–17 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
14 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–13 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti du Travail de Belgique.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 32% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 30% | 67% | Median |
| 16 | 31% | 38% | |
| 17 | 6% | 7% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |