Parti du Travail de Belgique
Voting Intentions
Last result: 13.7% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 15.6% | 13.8–17.3% | 13.4–17.8% | 13.0–18.2% | 12.2–19.0% |
| 28–31 May 2024 | Cluster17 RTL TVi |
16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 14–20 May 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.8–17.6% |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.2–18.0% |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
18.4% | 16.9–20.1% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
19.3% | 17.0–21.9% | 16.4–22.6% | 15.8–23.2% | 14.8–24.5% |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19.8% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.8–22.0% | 17.4–22.4% | 16.7–23.2% |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18.9% | 17.4–20.6% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.6–21.5% | 15.9–22.3% |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17.6% | 16.1–19.2% | 15.7–19.7% | 15.4–20.1% | 14.7–20.9% |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
20.1% | 18.0–22.6% | 17.4–23.3% | 16.8–23.9% | 15.9–25.1% |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17.9% | 16.4–19.5% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.6–20.4% | 14.9–21.2% |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18.4% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.5–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.2–21.3% | 16.8–21.7% | 16.1–22.5% |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.8–21.9% | 17.4–22.3% | 16.7–23.1% |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18.2% | 16.7–19.9% | 16.3–20.4% | 15.9–20.8% | 15.2–21.6% |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18.7% | 17.1–20.4% | 16.7–20.9% | 16.3–21.4% | 15.6–22.2% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19.1% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.5% |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.0–21.2% | 16.6–21.6% | 15.9–22.5% |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17.2% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.3–19.3% | 15.0–19.7% | 14.3–20.5% |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18.9% | 17.4–20.5% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.6–21.4% | 15.9–22.3% |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
15.4% | 12.9–18.4% | 12.2–19.3% | 11.6–20.1% | 10.5–21.6% |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18.7% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.7–20.8% | 16.4–21.2% | 15.6–22.0% |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18.6% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.6–20.7% | 16.3–21.2% | 15.6–22.0% |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16.5% | 15.0–18.1% | 14.6–18.5% | 14.3–18.9% | 13.6–19.7% |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.8–18.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti du Travail de Belgique.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 6% | 98.9% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 16% | 93% | Last Result |
| 14.5–15.5% | 26% | 77% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 27% | 51% | Median |
| 16.5–17.5% | 17% | 24% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 10 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| 28–31 May 2024 | Cluster17 RTL TVi |
14 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| 14–20 May 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 8–15 |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 12–18 |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
16 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 12–20 | 10–21 |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 11–18 |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
17 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–22 |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 12–19 |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 13–19 |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 15–20 |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 13–18 |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 13–20 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–20 |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 15–20 |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 10–18 |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
13 | 10–16 | 8–17 | 8–17 | 8–19 |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 15–20 |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–20 |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 13–16 | 11–17 | 10–17 | 10–17 |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti du Travail de Belgique.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 14% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 11 | 17% | 85% | |
| 12 | 10% | 68% | |
| 13 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 14 | 40% | 48% | |
| 15 | 6% | 8% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |