Parti Socialiste
Voting Intentions
Last result: 23.2% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 29.0% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.4–32.8% |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
29.0% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.4–32.8% |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
26.2% | 24.5–28.0% | 24.0–28.6% | 23.6–29.0% | 22.8–29.9% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
25.5% | 23.8–27.3% | 23.3–27.8% | 22.9–28.3% | 22.1–29.2% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
24.3% | 23.1–25.6% | 22.7–25.9% | 22.5–26.2% | 21.9–26.9% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.6–28.2% | 23.2–28.6% | 22.4–29.5% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
24.6% | 22.9–26.4% | 22.4–26.9% | 22.0–27.4% | 21.2–28.3% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21.7% | 20.1–23.4% | 19.6–23.9% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.5–25.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti Socialiste.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 11% | 96% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 22% | 85% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 27% | 64% | Median |
| 29.5–30.5% | 21% | 36% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 11% | 15% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 19 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 24 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 20–27 |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
24 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 20–27 |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 18–25 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
19 | 19–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 18–23 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 17–25 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–21 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti Socialiste.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 4% | 97% | |
| 23 | 42% | 94% | |
| 24 | 21% | 51% | Median |
| 25 | 17% | 31% | |
| 26 | 11% | 13% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |