Parti Socialiste

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 23.2% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 24.6% 22.9–26.4% 22.4–26.9% 22.0–27.4% 21.2–28.3%
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 24.6% 22.9–26.4% 22.4–26.9% 22.0–27.4% 21.2–28.3%
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 21.7% 20.1–23.4% 19.6–23.9% 19.3–24.4% 18.5–25.2%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti Socialiste.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0.1% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0.9% 99.9%  
21.5–22.5% 5% 99.0%  
22.5–23.5% 15% 94% Last Result
23.5–24.5% 27% 79%  
24.5–25.5% 27% 52% Median
25.5–26.5% 17% 25%  
26.5–27.5% 6% 8%  
27.5–28.5% 2% 2%  
28.5–29.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
29.5–30.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 19 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 19 18–22 18–23 18–23 17–24
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 19 18–22 18–23 18–23 17–24
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 18 17–19 16–19 16–19 16–21

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti Socialiste.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 2% 99.9%  
18 9% 98%  
19 49% 89% Last Result, Median
20 14% 41%  
21 11% 27%  
22 7% 16%  
23 8% 9%  
24 0.9% 1.1%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%