Parti Socialiste
Voting Intentions
Last result: 23.2% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.6–28.1% | 23.2–28.6% | 22.4–29.5% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.6–28.2% | 23.2–28.6% | 22.4–29.5% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
24.6% | 22.9–26.4% | 22.4–26.9% | 22.0–27.4% | 21.2–28.3% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21.7% | 20.1–23.4% | 19.6–23.9% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.5–25.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti Socialiste.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 4% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 23.5–24.5% | 13% | 95% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 24% | 83% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 28% | 58% | Median |
| 26.5–27.5% | 19% | 30% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 8% | 11% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 19 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 17–25 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 17–25 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–21 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti Socialiste.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 18 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 24% | 96% | Last Result |
| 20 | 17% | 72% | |
| 21 | 20% | 55% | Median |
| 22 | 19% | 35% | |
| 23 | 14% | 16% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |