Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
Voting Intentions
Last result: 8.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.9% | 6.7–8.7% | 6.5–8.8% | 6.3–8.8% | 5.9–8.9% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
8.5% | 7.9–8.9% | 7.8–9.0% | 7.6–9.0% | 7.4–9.1% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.3% | 6.5–7.9% | 6.3–8.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.1% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.3% | 7.4–8.9% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.2% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.0% | 6.3–7.6% | 6.1–7.7% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.6–7.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 31% | 94% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 47% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 27% | 16% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.8% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 11 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 10–11 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 7–13 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 9–10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 2% | 98% | |
| 10 | 46% | 96% | |
| 11 | 11% | 50% | Last Result, Median |
| 12 | 16% | 39% | |
| 13 | 21% | 23% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |