DéFI
Voting Intentions
Last result: 1.2% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0.9% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.7–1.0% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1.2% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.7–1.0% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1.2% | 0.9–1.0% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.7–1.0% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for DéFI.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 25% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for DéFI.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24% | 100% | |
| 1 | 76% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |