Ecolo
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.1% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.1% | 2.9–3.2% | 2.8–3.2% | 2.8–3.2% | 2.6–3.2% |
| 28–31 May 2024 | Cluster17 RTL TVi |
3.4% | 2.8–3.1% | 2.7–3.1% | 2.7–3.1% | 2.6–3.1% |
| 14–20 May 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.6% | 3.0–3.2% | 2.9–3.2% | 2.9–3.2% | 2.7–3.2% |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
5.4% | 4.6–4.9% | 4.6–4.9% | 4.5–4.9% | 4.4–4.9% |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.9% | 4.1–4.4% | 4.0–4.4% | 4.0–4.4% | 3.8–4.4% |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
5.7% | 4.9–5.2% | 4.8–5.2% | 4.7–5.2% | 4.6–5.2% |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.7% | 4.9–5.2% | 4.8–5.2% | 4.7–5.2% | 4.6–5.2% |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
4.9% | 3.8–4.2% | 3.7–4.3% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.3% |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.9% | 5.1–5.5% | 5.1–5.5% | 5.0–5.5% | 4.8–5.5% |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.3% | 4.5–4.8% | 4.4–4.8% | 4.3–4.8% | 4.2–4.8% |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.1% | 4.3–4.6% | 4.2–4.6% | 4.2–4.6% | 4.0–4.6% |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS De Standaard and VRT |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
5.2% | 4.1–4.5% | 4.0–4.5% | 4.0–4.5% | 3.8–4.5% |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.0% | 4.2–4.5% | 4.1–4.5% | 4.1–4.5% | 3.9–4.5% |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.4% | 4.6–4.9% | 4.5–4.9% | 4.4–4.9% | 4.3–4.9% |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.8% | 5.0–5.4% | 5.0–5.4% | 4.9–5.4% | 4.7–5.4% |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.3% | 5.5–5.8% | 5.4–5.8% | 5.4–5.8% | 5.2–5.9% |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.3% | 5.4–5.7% | 5.3–5.7% | 5.2–5.7% | 5.1–5.7% |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.7% | 5.8–6.2% | 5.7–6.2% | 5.6–6.2% | 5.5–6.2% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.2% | 5.3–5.6% | 5.2–5.7% | 5.2–5.7% | 5.0–5.7% |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.6% | 5.7–6.0% | 5.6–6.0% | 5.5–6.0% | 5.3–6.0% |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.4% | 5.6–5.9% | 5.5–6.0% | 5.4–6.0% | 5.3–6.0% |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.3% | 6.4–6.7% | 6.3–6.8% | 6.2–6.8% | 6.1–6.8% |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
6.4% | 4.8–5.4% | 4.6–5.4% | 4.5–5.4% | 4.2–5.4% |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.2% | 5.3–5.7% | 5.3–5.7% | 5.2–5.7% | 5.0–5.7% |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.4% | 5.5–5.8% | 5.4–5.9% | 5.3–5.9% | 5.2–5.9% |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.9% | 6.1–6.4% | 6.0–6.4% | 5.9–6.4% | 5.7–6.4% |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.8% | 5.9–6.3% | 5.8–6.3% | 5.8–6.3% | 5.6–6.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Ecolo.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 100% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 100% | 0% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 100% | 0% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 100% | 0% | Last Result |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.4% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 13 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5 | 4–10 | 4–10 | 4–11 | 3–12 |
| 28–31 May 2024 | Cluster17 RTL TVi |
4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| 14–20 May 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 3–9 |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 7–12 |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–13 |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
9 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 8–12 |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–13 |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS De Standaard and VRT |
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| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
10 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9 | 9–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–12 |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 8–17 |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Ecolo.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 42% | 98% | |
| 5 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 6 | 7% | 45% | |
| 7 | 3% | 38% | |
| 8 | 2% | 35% | |
| 9 | 13% | 33% | |
| 10 | 15% | 19% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |