Ecolo
Voting Intentions
Last result: 2.9% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2.7% | 2.5–2.7% | 2.5–2.7% | 2.5–2.7% | 2.4–2.7% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.3% | 2.7–2.9% | 2.6–2.9% | 2.6–2.9% | 2.5–2.9% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
2.9% | 2.5–2.6% | 2.5–2.7% | 2.4–2.7% | 2.3–2.7% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.2% | 2.6–2.8% | 2.5–2.8% | 2.4–2.8% | 2.3–2.8% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.5% | 2.8–3.1% | 2.8–3.1% | 2.7–3.1% | 2.6–3.1% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.4% | 2.7–3.0% | 2.7–3.0% | 2.6–3.0% | 2.5–3.0% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Ecolo.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 13% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 100% | 87% | Last Result, Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 100% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 3 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–7 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–7 | 2–7 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 3–8 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–7 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Ecolo.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 57% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 25% | 41% | |
| 5 | 10% | 16% | |
| 6 | 4% | 5% | |
| 7 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |