Groen
Voting Intentions
Last result: 4.6% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 4.6% | 4.1–5.0% | 3.9–5.1% | 3.8–5.1% | 3.5–5.2% |
27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.6% | 4.0–5.1% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.4–5.3% |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
4.6% | 4.1–4.9% | 4.0–5.0% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.0% |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.1% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.0–4.8% |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.3% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.5–4.9% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.1–5.0% |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.0% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.7% | 2.9–4.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Groen.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 49% | 99.4% | |
4.5–5.5% | 59% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
5.5–6.5% | 3% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 6 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–8 |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 1–6 |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 1–6 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Groen.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
3 | 4% | 100% | |
4 | 20% | 96% | |
5 | 9% | 76% | |
6 | 66% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
7 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
8 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
10 | 0% | 0% |