Groen
Voting Intentions
Last result: 4.6% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4.5% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.8–5.1% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.2% |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.5% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.8–5.1% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.2% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.6% | 4.0–5.1% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.4–5.3% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
4.6% | 4.1–4.9% | 4.0–5.0% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.0% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.1% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.0–4.8% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.3% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.5–4.9% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.1–5.0% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.0% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.7% | 2.9–4.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Groen.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 51% | 98% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 55% | 47% | Last Result, Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 4% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 6 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–8 |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–8 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–8 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 1–6 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 1–6 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Groen.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 25% | 91% | |
| 5 | 9% | 66% | |
| 6 | 56% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 7 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |