Les Engagés
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.8% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 6.1% | 5.9–6.2% | 5.8–6.2% | 5.7–6.3% | 5.5–6.3% |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.8% | 5.9–6.2% | 5.8–6.2% | 5.7–6.3% | 5.5–6.3% |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.6% | 6.6–7.0% | 6.5–7.0% | 6.4–7.0% | 6.3–7.0% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Les Engagés.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 100% | 99.4% | Median |
6.5–7.5% | 100% | 0% | Last Result |
7.5–8.5% | 37% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 14 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Les Engagés.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
9 | 7% | 99.9% | |
10 | 9% | 93% | |
11 | 14% | 84% | |
12 | 17% | 69% | |
13 | 16% | 52% | Median |
14 | 34% | 36% | Last Result |
15 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
16 | 0% | 0% |