Mouvement Réformateur

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 10.3% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 9.1% 8.8–9.2% 8.7–9.2% 8.6–9.2% 8.4–9.2%
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.8% 8.8–9.2% 8.7–9.2% 8.6–9.2% 8.4–9.2%
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 9.8% 8.8–9.2% 8.7–9.2% 8.6–9.2% 8.4–9.2%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Mouvement Réformateur.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 2% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 100% 98% Median
9.5–10.5% 100% 0% Last Result
10.5–11.5% 72% 0%  
11.5–12.5% 0.1% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 20 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 18 17–20 16–21 16–21 16–22
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 18 17–20 16–21 16–21 16–22
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 19 17–20 17–21 17–22 17–22

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Mouvement Réformateur.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 6% 100%  
17 32% 94%  
18 24% 61% Median
19 12% 38%  
20 16% 25% Last Result
21 9% 10%  
22 0.8% 0.9%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%