Mouvement Réformateur
Voting Intentions
Last result: 10.3% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8.5% | 8.2–8.6% | 8.1–8.6% | 8.0–8.6% | 7.8–8.6% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.2% | 8.2–8.6% | 8.1–8.6% | 8.0–8.6% | 7.8–8.6% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.8% | 8.8–9.2% | 8.7–9.2% | 8.6–9.2% | 8.4–9.2% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.8% | 8.8–9.2% | 8.7–9.2% | 8.6–9.2% | 8.4–9.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Mouvement Réformateur.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 65% | 100% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 100% | 35% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 100% | 0% | Last Result |
| 10.5–11.5% | 2% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 20 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 17 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–22 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Mouvement Réformateur.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 6% | 98% | |
| 17 | 52% | 92% | Median |
| 18 | 29% | 40% | |
| 19 | 7% | 11% | |
| 20 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |