Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie
Voting Intentions
Last result: 16.7% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 15.2% | 14.5–15.6% | 14.3–15.6% | 14.1–15.6% | 13.7–15.6% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
17.1% | 15.8–16.4% | 15.7–16.4% | 15.5–16.4% | 15.2–16.4% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16.1% | 14.3–15.2% | 14.1–15.2% | 13.9–15.2% | 13.5–15.2% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.6% | 13.7–14.6% | 13.5–14.6% | 13.4–14.6% | 13.0–14.6% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
16.7% | 14.9–15.8% | 14.7–15.8% | 14.5–15.8% | 14.1–15.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 78% | 90% | Median |
| 15.5–16.5% | 100% | 11% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 100% | 0% | Last Result |
| 17.5–18.5% | 100% | 0% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 4% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 24 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 26 | 23–28 | 22–28 | 22–29 | 21–30 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
27 | 25–28 | 24–29 | 24–29 | 24–30 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
24 | 22–26 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 21–29 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
24 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 20–28 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
26 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 23–30 | 22–30 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 3% | 98% | |
| 23 | 7% | 95% | |
| 24 | 22% | 88% | Last Result |
| 25 | 14% | 66% | |
| 26 | 19% | 52% | Median |
| 27 | 21% | 33% | |
| 28 | 8% | 12% | |
| 29 | 3% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |