Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 16.7% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 16.2% 15.5–16.5% 15.2–16.5% 15.0–16.5% 14.4–16.6%
27 May–3 June 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16.4% 15.3–17.2% 15.0–17.3% 14.7–17.4% 14.2–17.5%
3–24 March 2025 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT		 17.1% 15.8–16.4% 15.7–16.4% 15.5–16.4% 15.2–16.4%
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16.1% 14.3–15.2% 14.1–15.2% 13.9–15.2% 13.5–15.2%
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 15.6% 13.7–14.6% 13.5–14.6% 13.4–14.6% 13.0–14.6%
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 16.7% 14.9–15.8% 14.7–15.8% 14.5–15.8% 14.1–15.8%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0.8% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 10% 99.2%  
15.5–16.5% 87% 90% Median
16.5–17.5% 100% 2% Last Result
17.5–18.5% 84% 0%  
18.5–19.5% 3% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 24 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 26 24–28 24–29 23–29 21–30
27 May–3 June 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 25 24–27 23–28 22–29 21–30
3–24 March 2025 Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB
De Standaard, RTBF and VRT		 27 25–28 24–29 24–29 24–30
4–11 March 2025 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 24 22–26 22–27 21–28 21–29
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 24 22–25 21–26 21–27 20–28
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 26 24–28 24–29 23–30 22–30

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.9% 100%  
22 1.2% 99.1%  
23 3% 98%  
24 14% 95% Last Result
25 19% 81%  
26 20% 62% Median
27 27% 42%  
28 9% 15%  
29 4% 5%  
30 0.9% 0.9%  
31 0% 0%