Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
Voting Intentions
Last result: 5.4% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.5% | 3.0–4.0% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.2% |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.5% | 3.0–4.0% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.2% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.8% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.1–4.4% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.7–4.5% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
3.5% | 3.2–3.8% | 3.1–3.9% | 3.0–3.9% | 2.8–3.9% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3.7% | 3.2–4.2% | 3.0–4.3% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.7–4.4% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.5% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.1% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.3–5.2% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.2% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–4.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 52% | 99.4% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 57% | 47% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 3% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 7 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–6 |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–6 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–6 | 2–7 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–7 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 2–7 | 2–7 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4 | 3–6 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–7 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 55% | 99.8% | Median |
| 3 | 28% | 44% | |
| 4 | 15% | 17% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |