Parti du Travail de Belgique
Voting Intentions
Last result: 4.8% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 5.9% | 5.7–6.0% | 5.6–6.0% | 5.5–6.0% | 5.4–6.0% |
27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.5% | 5.6–5.9% | 5.5–6.0% | 5.5–6.0% | 5.3–6.0% |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
6.4% | 5.8–6.1% | 5.8–6.1% | 5.7–6.1% | 5.6–6.1% |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.6% | 5.7–6.1% | 5.7–6.1% | 5.6–6.1% | 5.4–6.1% |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.5% | 4.7–5.0% | 4.6–5.0% | 4.6–5.0% | 4.4–5.0% |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.2% | 4.5–4.8% | 4.4–4.8% | 4.3–4.8% | 4.2–4.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti du Travail de Belgique.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
5.5–6.5% | 100% | 97% | Median |
6.5–7.5% | 100% | 0% | |
7.5–8.5% | 2% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 8 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti du Travail de Belgique.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
9 | 0.3% | 100% | |
10 | 16% | 99.7% | |
11 | 26% | 83% | |
12 | 33% | 57% | Median |
13 | 22% | 24% | |
14 | 2% | 2% | |
15 | 0% | 0% |