Parti du Travail de Belgique
Voting Intentions
Last result: 4.8% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 4.9% | 4.7–5.0% | 4.6–5.0% | 4.6–5.0% | 4.4–5.0% |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.5% | 4.7–5.0% | 4.6–5.0% | 4.6–5.0% | 4.4–5.0% |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.2% | 4.5–4.8% | 4.4–4.8% | 4.3–4.8% | 4.2–4.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti du Travail de Belgique.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 2% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 100% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
5.5–6.5% | 100% | 0% | |
6.5–7.5% | 2% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 8 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti du Travail de Belgique.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
8 | 7% | 99.5% | Last Result |
9 | 26% | 93% | |
10 | 42% | 67% | Median |
11 | 23% | 25% | |
12 | 2% | 2% | |
13 | 0% | 0% |