Partij van de Arbeid van België
Voting Intentions
Last result: 5.1% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.5% | 5.6–7.1% | 5.4–7.2% | 5.2–7.2% | 4.8–7.3% |
| 9 March–5 April 2026 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
6.9% | 6.3–7.3% | 6.2–7.3% | 6.0–7.4% | 5.8–7.4% |
| 2–9 March 2026 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.1% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.8% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.7–6.9% |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.4% | 5.6–6.9% | 5.4–7.0% | 5.3–7.1% | 4.9–7.1% |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.7% | 5.0–6.2% | 4.8–6.3% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.4% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.5% | 4.9–6.1% | 4.7–6.2% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.2–6.3% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
5.6% | 5.1–5.9% | 5.0–6.0% | 4.8–6.0% | 4.6–6.1% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.2% | 5.5–6.8% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.8–7.0% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.9% | 4.3–5.4% | 4.1–5.5% | 4.0–5.6% | 3.7–5.6% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.5% | 4.9–6.1% | 4.7–6.2% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.2–6.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid van België.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 8% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 46% | 91% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 53% | 46% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 5% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 7 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| 9 March–5 April 2026 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 |
| 2–9 March 2026 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 5–11 |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–11 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–11 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 5–11 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–11 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid van België.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 12% | 97% | Last Result |
| 8 | 41% | 85% | Median |
| 9 | 16% | 44% | |
| 10 | 8% | 28% | |
| 11 | 19% | 20% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |