Parti Socialiste
Voting Intentions
Last result: 8.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 8.4% | 8.2–8.5% | 8.1–8.5% | 8.0–8.5% | 7.9–8.5% |
27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.5% | 8.5–8.9% | 8.4–8.9% | 8.3–8.9% | 8.1–8.9% |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
8.8% | 8.1–8.4% | 8.0–8.4% | 8.0–8.4% | 7.8–8.4% |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.4% | 8.4–8.8% | 8.3–8.8% | 8.2–8.8% | 8.0–8.8% |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.1% | 8.1–8.5% | 8.0–8.5% | 7.9–8.5% | 7.7–8.5% |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.2% | 7.2–7.6% | 7.1–7.6% | 7.1–7.6% | 6.9–7.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti Socialiste.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
8.5–9.5% | 100% | 0% | |
9.5–10.5% | 100% | 0% | |
10.5–11.5% | 6% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 16 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 18 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 15–20 |
27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
17 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–19 |
4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–20 | 15–20 |
18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti Socialiste.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
15 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
16 | 8% | 98.7% | Last Result |
17 | 38% | 91% | |
18 | 32% | 53% | Median |
19 | 17% | 21% | |
20 | 4% | 4% | |
21 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
22 | 0% | 0% |