Vooruit
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.7% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.9% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.5–9.0% | 6.3–9.1% | 5.9–9.1% |
| 28–31 May 2024 | Cluster17 RTL TVi |
8.0% | 7.2–8.6% | 7.1–8.7% | 6.9–8.8% | 6.5–8.8% |
| 14–20 May 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.8% | 8.2–9.3% | 8.1–9.4% | 7.9–9.4% | 7.6–9.5% |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
7.1% | 6.3–7.7% | 6.2–7.8% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.6–8.0% |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.1% | 6.3–7.6% | 6.1–7.8% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.6–7.9% |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
9.1% | 8.2–9.7% | 8.0–9.8% | 7.8–9.9% | 7.5–10.0% |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.5% | 7.7–9.2% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.3–9.4% | 6.9–9.4% |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
10.0% | 8.8–10.9% | 8.4–11.0% | 8.2–11.1% | 7.7–11.2% |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.5% | 8.6–10.2% | 8.4–10.3% | 8.2–10.4% | 7.8–10.5% |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.4% | 9.5–11.1% | 9.2–11.2% | 9.0–11.3% | 8.6–11.4% |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.6% | 8.7–10.2% | 8.4–10.4% | 8.3–10.5% | 7.9–10.5% |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS De Standaard and VRT |
16.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
9.4% | 8.2–10.3% | 7.9–10.5% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.1–10.7% |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.9% | 9.0–10.6% | 8.8–10.7% | 8.6–10.8% | 8.2–10.9% |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.4% | 9.5–11.1% | 9.2–11.2% | 9.0–11.3% | 8.6–11.4% |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.1% | 8.3–9.8% | 8.0–9.9% | 7.8–10.0% | 7.5–10.1% |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.8% | 7.9–9.4% | 7.7–9.5% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.1–9.7% |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.6% | 7.7–9.2% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.3–9.4% | 6.9–9.5% |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.6% | 6.8–8.2% | 6.6–8.3% | 6.4–8.4% | 6.1–8.4% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.8% | 7.0–8.4% | 6.8–8.5% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.2–8.6% |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.6% | 6.8–8.2% | 6.6–8.3% | 6.4–8.4% | 6.1–8.5% |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.4% | 7.6–9.0% | 7.4–9.2% | 7.2–9.2% | 6.8–9.3% |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.5% | 7.6–9.1% | 7.4–9.2% | 7.2–9.3% | 6.8–9.3% |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
8.0% | 7.0–8.9% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.1% | 6.1–9.2% |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.7% | 6.9–8.4% | 6.7–8.5% | 6.5–8.5% | 6.2–8.6% |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.9% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.6% | 4.9–6.7% | 4.6–6.7% |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.5% | 4.8–6.0% | 4.6–6.1% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.2–6.3% |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5.2% | 4.5–5.7% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–5.9% | 3.9–5.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vooruit.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 29% | 94% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 41% | 65% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 32% | 24% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 3% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 9 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| 28–31 May 2024 | Cluster17 RTL TVi |
11 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| 14–20 May 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–16 |
| 8–18 April 2024 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 |
| 11–18 March 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 6–12 |
| 22 January–8 February 2024 | Kantar Knack and Le Vif |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 |
| 4–11 December 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 |
| 10 September–9 October 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
15 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 11–19 |
| 18–25 September 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 |
| 29 May–6 June 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| 20–27 March 2023 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 |
| 13–23 March 2023 | TNS De Standaard and VRT |
16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 16–29 January 2023 | Kantar La Libre Belgique and RTBf |
14 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–19 |
| 21–29 November 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 |
| 7–13 September 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
| 6–14 June 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–17 |
| 15–22 March 2022 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 |
| 1–8 December 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–15 |
| 7–14 September 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 7–14 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 4–9 March 2021 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 2–8 December 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 |
| 2–8 October 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 9–15 |
| 28 August–1 September 2020 | Dedicated Soirmag |
11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 10–15 June 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 |
| 4–9 March 2020 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 |
| 29 November–6 December 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| 2–10 September 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vooruit.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 9% | 97% | Last Result |
| 10 | 9% | 88% | |
| 11 | 34% | 79% | Median |
| 12 | 23% | 45% | |
| 13 | 17% | 22% | |
| 14 | 4% | 5% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |