Vooruit
Voting Intentions
Last result: 8.1% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.0% | 6.3–7.7% | 6.1–7.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–7.9% |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.1% | 6.3–7.7% | 6.1–7.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–7.9% |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.5% | 7.6–9.1% | 7.4–9.2% | 7.2–9.3% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.3% | 7.5–9.0% | 7.3–9.1% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.7–9.2% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
9.2% | 8.6–9.6% | 8.4–9.7% | 8.3–9.8% | 8.0–9.8% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.9% | 8.0–9.6% | 7.8–9.7% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.2–9.8% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.6% | 8.8–10.3% | 8.5–10.5% | 8.3–10.5% | 7.9–10.6% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.2% | 8.3–9.9% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.1% | 7.5–10.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vooruit.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 19% | 99.6% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 65% | 81% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 26% | 16% | Last Result |
| 8.5–9.5% | 2% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 13 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9 | 9–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9 | 9–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
14 | 13–14 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 10–17 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
13 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vooruit.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 67% | 94% | Median |
| 10 | 13% | 27% | |
| 11 | 7% | 14% | |
| 12 | 5% | 7% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |