Opinion Poll by Маркет ЛИНКС for bTV, 12–20 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 27.6% 25.7–29.6% 25.1–30.2% 24.7–30.7% 23.8–31.7%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 14.1% 12.7–15.7% 12.2–16.2% 11.9–16.6% 11.2–17.4%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0.0% 12.5% 11.2–14.1% 10.8–14.6% 10.5–15.0% 9.9–15.7%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 9.2% 8.1–10.6% 7.7–11.0% 7.5–11.4% 6.9–12.1%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 7.7% 6.6–9.0% 6.3–9.4% 6.1–9.7% 5.6–10.3%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 6.7% 5.7–8.0% 5.5–8.3% 5.2–8.6% 4.8–9.3%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 4.7% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.1% 3.5–6.4% 3.1–7.0%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.8% 2.5–5.0% 2.2–5.5%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.8% 2.5–5.0% 2.2–5.5%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.5% 1.9–3.7% 1.7–3.9% 1.5–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 100%  
5 85% 98% Median
6 13% 13%  
7 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 32% 100%  
3 68% 68% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 85% 100% Median
3 15% 15%  
4 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.1% 100%  
2 77% 98.9% Median
3 21% 21%  
4 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100% Last Result
1 38% 98.9%  
2 61% 61% Median
3 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 78% 90% Median
2 12% 12%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100% Last Result
1 70% 70% Median
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 32% 100%  
3 68% 68% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations