Opinion Poll by Gallup International, 8–12 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 26.6% 24.7–28.7% 24.1–29.3% 23.7–29.8% 22.8–30.8%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 14.2% 12.8–15.9% 12.3–16.4% 12.0–16.9% 11.3–17.7%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0.0% 14.1% 12.7–15.8% 12.2–16.3% 11.9–16.7% 11.2–17.6%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 8.4% 7.2–9.8% 6.9–10.2% 6.6–10.5% 6.1–11.2%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 8.1% 7.0–9.5% 6.7–9.9% 6.4–10.2% 5.9–10.9%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 6.8% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.4% 5.2–8.7% 4.8–9.4%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.9–7.0% 3.5–7.6%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 4.9% 4.0–6.0% 3.8–6.3% 3.6–6.6% 3.2–7.2%
Величие (*) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.6% 2.7–4.9% 2.5–5.2% 2.2–5.7%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.6% 1.8–5.1%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–3.1% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.5% 1.2–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 3 2–3 2–4 2–4
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–3
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 1.4% 100%  
5 74% 98.6% Median
6 24% 24%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 10% 100%  
3 86% 90% Median
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 13% 100%  
3 86% 87% Median
4 1.2% 1.2%  
5 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 18% 99.8%  
2 82% 82% Median
3 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 72% 96% Median
3 24% 24%  
4 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 71% 85% Median
2 14% 14%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 19% 20%  
2 1.0% 1.0%  
3 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 53% 53% Median
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 3 2–3 2–4 2–4

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 10% 100%  
3 86% 90% Median
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations