Opinion Poll by Gallup International, 13–20 February 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 27.8% 25.9–29.9% 25.3–30.5% 24.8–31.0% 23.9–32.1%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 13.2% 11.8–14.9% 11.4–15.3% 11.1–15.8% 10.4–16.6%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0.0% 13.1% 11.7–14.8% 11.3–15.2% 10.9–15.6% 10.3–16.4%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 8.6% 7.5–10.0% 7.1–10.4% 6.9–10.8% 6.3–11.5%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 7.5% 6.4–8.8% 6.1–9.2% 5.9–9.5% 5.4–10.2%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 6.2% 5.3–7.5% 5.0–7.8% 4.8–8.1% 4.3–8.8%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 5.5% 4.6–6.7% 4.3–7.0% 4.1–7.3% 3.7–7.9%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 5.0% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4% 3.7–6.7% 3.3–7.3%
Величие (*) 0.0% 4.0% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3% 2.8–5.6% 2.5–6.1%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 2.9% 2.2–3.8% 2.1–4.0% 1.9–4.3% 1.7–4.8%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.9% 1.4–3.2% 1.3–3.4% 1.1–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 6 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–7
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Да, България! (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.2% 100%  
5 32% 99.8%  
6 61% 68% Median
7 7% 7%  
8 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 26% 100%  
3 74% 74% Median
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 20% 100%  
3 80% 80% Median
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 14% 99.9%  
2 85% 85% Median
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 9% 100%  
2 74% 91% Median
3 17% 17%  
4 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 57% 64% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 70% 100% Last Result, Median
1 29% 30%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 12%  
2 0.5% 0.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Last Result, Median
1 49% 49%  
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 26% 100%  
3 74% 74% Median
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations