Opinion Poll by Тренд for 24 часа, 10–16 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 26.7% 24.9–28.5% 24.5–29.0% 24.0–29.5% 23.2–30.4%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 12.5% 11.3–14.0% 10.9–14.4% 10.7–14.7% 10.1–15.4%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0.0% 10.9% 9.7–12.2% 9.4–12.6% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.6%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 6.9% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.0–9.2%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 5.9% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Величие (*) 0.0% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.1% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.8%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Синя България (ECR) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Синя България (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 1.4% 100%  
5 66% 98.6% Median
6 32% 33%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 32% 100%  
3 68% 68% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 73% 100% Median
3 27% 27%  
4 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 81% 98% Median
3 17% 17%  
4 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 38% 82% Median
2 43% 43%  
3 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 58% 82% Median
2 24% 24%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 37% 41%  
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 62% 100% Last Result, Median
1 31% 38%  
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 32% 100% Last Result
1 68% 68% Median
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Синя България (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Синя България (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 32% 100%  
3 68% 68% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations