Opinion Poll by Маркет ЛИНКС for bTV, 22–30 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 26.3% 24.5–28.1% 24.0–28.6% 23.6–29.1% 22.8–30.0%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0.0% 12.8% 11.5–14.2% 11.1–14.6% 10.8–15.0% 10.2–15.7%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.8–14.3% 10.5–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 10.1% 9.0–11.5% 8.6–11.8% 8.4–12.2% 7.8–12.8%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 7.4% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.9% 5.9–9.2% 5.4–9.8%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 6.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.6% 5.0–9.2%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.7% 3.5–7.2%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Величие (*) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.8–5.3% 2.5–5.8%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.7–4.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–6
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Величие (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 100%  
5 62% 98% Median
6 36% 36%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 49% 100%  
3 51% 51% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 32% 100%  
3 68% 68% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 58% 100% Median
3 42% 42%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 51% 97% Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 67% 91% Median
2 24% 24%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 21% 21%  
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 12%  
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 11%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 77% 100% Last Result, Median
1 23% 23%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 32% 100%  
3 68% 68% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations