Opinion Poll by Gallup International, 19–30 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 25.6% 23.7–27.6% 23.1–28.2% 22.6–28.7% 21.7–29.8%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0.0% 16.0% 14.4–17.8% 14.0–18.3% 13.6–18.8% 12.9–19.6%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 12.2% 10.8–13.8% 10.4–14.3% 10.1–14.7% 9.5–15.5%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 9.3% 8.1–10.7% 7.7–11.2% 7.5–11.5% 6.9–12.3%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 6.6% 5.6–7.9% 5.3–8.3% 5.1–8.6% 4.6–9.2%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 5.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.9–7.0% 3.5–7.6%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 5.1% 4.2–6.2% 4.0–6.6% 3.7–6.9% 3.4–7.5%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 4.8% 4.0–6.0% 3.7–6.3% 3.5–6.6% 3.2–7.2%
Величие (*) 0.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.8% 2.9–5.1% 2.7–5.4% 2.4–5.9%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.6% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.8% 2.5–5.1% 2.2–5.6%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.6% 1.9–3.8% 1.8–4.1% 1.5–4.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–7
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–2
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.8% 100%  
5 56% 99.2% Median
6 41% 43%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 51% 99.9% Median
4 48% 49%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 23% 100%  
3 77% 77% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 71% 99.7% Median
3 29% 29%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 45% 80% Median
2 35% 35%  
3 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 15% 17%  
2 1.2% 1.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 13%  
2 1.3% 1.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 8%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100% Last Result
1 83% 83% Median
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Last Result, Median
1 36% 36%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 23% 100%  
3 77% 77% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations