Opinion Poll by Мяра, 3–13 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 26.4% 24.5–28.5% 23.9–29.0% 23.5–29.6% 22.6–30.6%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 13.3% 11.8–14.9% 11.4–15.4% 11.1–15.8% 10.4–16.6%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0.0% 10.3% 9.0–11.8% 8.7–12.2% 8.4–12.6% 7.8–13.3%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 8.6% 7.4–10.0% 7.1–10.3% 6.8–10.7% 6.3–11.4%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 7.1% 6.0–8.4% 5.7–8.7% 5.5–9.1% 5.0–9.7%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 6.7% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.3% 5.2–8.6% 4.7–9.3%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 6.3% 5.3–7.6% 5.1–7.9% 4.8–8.2% 4.4–8.9%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 6.2% 5.2–7.4% 5.0–7.8% 4.7–8.1% 4.3–8.7%
Величие (*) 0.0% 4.3% 3.5–5.4% 3.3–5.7% 3.1–6.0% 2.8–6.5%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.2% 2.5–4.2% 2.4–4.5% 2.2–4.7% 1.9–5.2%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.5–3.7% 1.3–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 4–6 4–6
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Да, България! (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 4% 100%  
5 79% 96% Median
6 17% 17%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 47% 100%  
3 52% 53% Median
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 98% 99.5% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.4% 100%  
2 67% 98.6% Median
3 32% 32%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 49% 93% Median
2 44% 44%  
3 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 56% 82% Median
2 25% 25%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 62% 77% Median
2 15% 15%  
3 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100% Last Result
1 64% 70% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Last Result, Median
1 45% 45%  
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 47% 100%  
3 52% 53% Median
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations