Opinion Poll by Маркет ЛИНКС for bTV, 18–30 April 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 25.4% 23.7–27.2% 23.2–27.8% 22.8–28.2% 21.9–29.1%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 12.9% 11.7–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.2% 10.4–15.9%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0.0% 12.8% 11.6–14.3% 11.2–14.7% 10.9–15.1% 10.3–15.8%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 10.3% 9.1–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.5–12.4% 8.0–13.0%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 6.8% 5.9–8.0% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.6% 5.0–9.2%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.5%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.6–7.3%
Величие (*) 0.0% 4.6% 3.8–5.6% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–7
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 2 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 1.3% 100%  
5 74% 98.7% Median
6 24% 25%  
7 1.0% 1.0%  
8 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 24% 100%  
3 76% 76% Median
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 19% 100%  
3 80% 81% Median
4 1.1% 1.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 54% 99.9% Median
3 44% 46%  
4 1.0% 1.0%  
5 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 39% 93%  
2 54% 54% Median
3 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 30% 100% Last Result
1 58% 70% Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 13%  
2 1.0% 1.0%  
3 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.3% 1.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 90% 90% Median
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 28%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 24% 100%  
3 76% 76% Median
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations