Opinion Poll by Gallup International, 11–23 July 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 26.2% 24.3–28.3% 23.7–28.9% 23.3–29.4% 22.4–30.5%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0.0% 18.0% 16.3–19.8% 15.8–20.3% 15.4–20.8% 14.7–21.7%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 13.5% 12.0–15.2% 11.6–15.7% 11.3–16.1% 10.6–16.9%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 8.0% 6.9–9.4% 6.6–9.8% 6.3–10.2% 5.8–10.8%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 7.6% 6.6–9.0% 6.2–9.4% 6.0–9.7% 5.5–10.4%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 6.2% 5.3–7.5% 5.0–7.8% 4.8–8.2% 4.3–8.8%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 5.4% 4.5–6.5% 4.2–6.9% 4.0–7.2% 3.6–7.8%
Величие (*) 0.0% 4.2% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.6% 3.0–5.9% 2.7–6.4%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1% 2.0–4.4% 1.7–4.9%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.2% 1.6–3.0% 1.5–3.2% 1.4–3.4% 1.1–3.9%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.5% 0.6–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 4–6 4–6
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2 1–3 1–3 1–3
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 4% 100%  
5 81% 96% Median
6 15% 15%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 48% 100%  
4 52% 52% Median
5 0.8% 0.8%  
6 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 27% 100%  
3 72% 73% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 28% 99.1%  
2 71% 71% Median
3 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 6% 100%  
2 88% 94% Median
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 54% 64% Median
2 10% 10%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 44% 44%  
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 42% 100% Last Result
1 58% 58% Median
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 12% 12%  
2 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 27% 100%  
3 72% 73% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations