Opinion Poll by Мяра, 4–12 September 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 26.9% 25.0–29.0% 24.4–29.6% 24.0–30.1% 23.1–31.1%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 13.7% 12.3–15.4% 11.9–15.9% 11.5–16.3% 10.8–17.1%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0.0% 13.6% 12.1–15.3% 11.7–15.7% 11.4–16.1% 10.7–17.0%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 8.4% 7.2–9.7% 6.9–10.1% 6.6–10.5% 6.1–11.2%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 6.7% 5.7–8.0% 5.4–8.4% 5.2–8.7% 4.7–9.3%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 6.6% 5.6–7.9% 5.3–8.2% 5.1–8.6% 4.6–9.2%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 5.4% 4.5–6.5% 4.2–6.9% 4.0–7.1% 3.6–7.7%
Величие (*) 0.0% 4.5% 3.7–5.6% 3.4–5.9% 3.3–6.2% 2.9–6.7%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.5% 2.2–4.7% 1.9–5.2%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.5% 1.9–3.7% 1.7–4.0% 1.5–4.4%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.5% 1.5–3.7% 1.3–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–7
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 100%  
5 66% 98% Median
6 31% 32%  
7 1.3% 1.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 22% 100%  
3 76% 78% Median
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 21% 100%  
3 77% 79% Median
4 1.3% 1.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 75% 98% Median
3 24% 24%  
4 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100% Last Result
1 62% 87% Median
2 25% 25%  
3 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100% Last Result
1 55% 78% Median
2 23% 23%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Last Result, Median
1 28% 29%  
2 0.9% 0.9%  
3 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 5%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 64% 64% Median
2 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 22% 100%  
3 76% 78% Median
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations