Opinion Poll by Gallup International, 29 September–12 October 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 27.4% 25.6–29.4% 25.1–29.9% 24.6–30.4% 23.8–31.4%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0.0% 17.5% 15.9–19.2% 15.5–19.7% 15.1–20.1% 14.4–20.9%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 13.4% 12.0–14.9% 11.6–15.4% 11.3–15.8% 10.7–16.5%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 8.3% 7.2–9.6% 6.9–10.0% 6.7–10.3% 6.2–10.9%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 7.6% 6.6–8.9% 6.3–9.2% 6.1–9.6% 5.6–10.2%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 5.8% 4.9–6.9% 4.6–7.2% 4.4–7.5% 4.0–8.0%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 5.8% 4.9–6.9% 4.6–7.2% 4.4–7.5% 4.0–8.0%
Величие (*) 0.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.2–5.9% 2.8–6.4%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.1% 2.4–4.3% 2.2–4.6% 2.0–5.0%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.1% 1.6–3.3% 1.5–3.5% 1.3–3.9%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.5–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–7
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–3
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.7% 100%  
5 55% 99.3% Median
6 44% 45%  
7 0.9% 0.9%  
8 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 48% 100%  
4 52% 52% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 18% 100%  
3 81% 82% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 80% 98% Median
3 18% 18%  
4 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 47% 98%  
2 51% 51% Median
3 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 42% 44%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 65% 100% Last Result, Median
1 33% 35%  
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 64% 64% Median
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 18% 100%  
3 81% 82% Median
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations