Opinion Poll by Маркет ЛИНКС for bTV, 3–7 December 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 24.2% 22.2–26.3% 21.6–26.9% 21.2–27.5% 20.2–28.5%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 13.2% 11.7–15.0% 11.3–15.5% 10.9–15.9% 10.2–16.8%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) 0.0% 12.9% 11.4–14.7% 11.0–15.2% 10.7–15.6% 10.0–16.5%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 12.5% 11.0–14.2% 10.6–14.7% 10.3–15.1% 9.6–16.0%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 7.6% 6.4–9.0% 6.1–9.4% 5.9–9.8% 5.3–10.5%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 6.6% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 5.0–8.7% 4.5–9.4%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 4.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.4–6.6% 3.0–7.2%
Величие (*) 0.0% 3.7% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–5.0% 2.5–5.3% 2.2–5.9%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 3.5% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.4–5.1% 2.1–5.7%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 3.1% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.6% 1.8–5.2%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.8–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 58% 100% Median
5 42% 42%  
6 0.8% 0.8%  
7 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 24% 100%  
3 75% 76% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 44% 100%  
3 56% 56% Median
4 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 12% 100%  
3 87% 88% Median
4 1.1% 1.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.8% 100% Last Result
1 71% 99.2% Median
2 28% 28%  
3 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 77% 90% Median
2 13% 13%  
3 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 26%  
2 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 24% 100%  
3 75% 76% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations