Opinion Poll by Маркет ЛИНКС for bTV, 7–13 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Партия на Румен Радев (*) 0.0% 32.1% 30.0–34.2% 29.4–34.8% 28.9–35.4% 28.0–36.4%
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 19.3% 17.6–21.2% 17.1–21.7% 16.7–22.1% 15.9–23.1%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) 0.0% 13.1% 11.7–14.8% 11.3–15.2% 11.0–15.7% 10.3–16.5%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 9.3% 8.1–10.8% 7.8–11.2% 7.5–11.5% 7.0–12.3%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 5.7% 4.7–6.8% 4.5–7.2% 4.3–7.5% 3.9–8.1%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.8% 2.5–5.1% 2.2–5.6%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 3.1% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.3% 2.1–4.5% 1.8–5.0%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.7% 2.0–4.0% 1.9–4.2% 1.6–4.7%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.6% 1.9–3.8% 1.8–4.1% 1.5–4.5%
Величие (*) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.3–3.3% 1.1–3.7%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.6% 1.2–2.8% 1.1–3.0% 0.9–3.4%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.3% 0.1–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Партия на Румен Радев (*) 0 7 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–8
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 4 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Възраждане (ESN) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Партия на Румен Радев (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Партия на Румен Радев (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.6% 100%  
6 39% 99.4%  
7 60% 60% Median
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0% Majority

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 7% 100%  
4 83% 93% Median
5 10% 10%  
6 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 34% 100%  
3 66% 66% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 76% 99.7% Median
3 24% 24%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 44%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100% Last Result
1 78% 78% Median
2 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 81% 100% Last Result, Median
1 19% 19%  
2 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 44%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations