Opinion Poll by Gallup International, 10–28 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (*) 0.0% 30.6% 28.5–32.8% 28.0–33.4% 27.5–33.9% 26.5–35.0%
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 20.2% 18.4–22.1% 17.9–22.7% 17.5–23.2% 16.7–24.1%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) 0.0% 11.2% 9.8–12.8% 9.5–13.2% 9.1–13.6% 8.6–14.4%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 6.8% 5.8–8.1% 5.5–8.5% 5.2–8.8% 4.8–9.5%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 6.2% 5.2–7.4% 4.9–7.8% 4.7–8.1% 4.3–8.7%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.6% 2.3–4.9% 2.0–5.4%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 3.0% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2% 2.0–4.4% 1.7–4.9%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.7% 2.0–4.0% 1.9–4.3% 1.6–4.7%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.7% 1.7–3.9% 1.4–4.4%
Величие (*) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.5–3.6% 1.2–4.1%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.2% 1.0–3.6%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.4%
Синя България (ECR) 0.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.8% 0.3–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (*) 0 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–7
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2 2–3 1–3 1–3
Възраждане (ESN) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Синя България (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Прогресивна България (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Прогресивна България (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 14% 100%  
6 72% 86% Median
7 15% 15%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0% Majority

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 79% 98% Median
5 20% 20%  
6 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 82% 100% Median
3 18% 18%  
4 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 88% 95% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100% Last Result
1 65% 72% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 66% 66% Median
2 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Синя България (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Синя България (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100% Last Result
1 65% 72% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations