Opinion Poll by Маркет ЛИНКС for bTV, 7–15 March 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Прогресивна България (*) | 0.0% | 26.6% | 24.7–28.7% | 24.1–29.3% | 23.7–29.8% | 22.8–30.8% |
| Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) | 0.0% | 23.5% | 21.6–25.5% | 21.1–26.1% | 20.7–26.6% | 19.8–27.6% |
| Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 7.8–10.5% | 7.5–10.9% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–12.0% |
| Продължаваме промяната (RE) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 7.8–10.5% | 7.5–10.9% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–12.0% |
| Възраждане (ESN) | 0.0% | 6.2% | 5.2–7.4% | 4.9–7.7% | 4.7–8.0% | 4.3–8.7% |
| БСП – обединена левица (S&D) | 0.0% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.7–5.3% | 2.3–5.9% |
| Морал, Единство, Чест (*) | 0.0% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.1–5.6% |
| Да, България! (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.1–5.6% |
| Величие (*) | 0.0% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.3–4.9% | 2.0–5.4% |
| Демократична България (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.9–3.8% | 1.7–4.0% | 1.5–4.5% |
| Алианс за права и свободи (RE) | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.4% | 1.1–2.6% | 1.0–2.8% | 0.8–3.2% |
| Синя България (ECR) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.0–2.4% | 0.9–2.6% | 0.7–3.0% |
| Сияние (*) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.3% | 0.5–2.7% |
| Има такъв народ (ECR) | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.0–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Прогресивна България (*) | 0 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| Продължаваме промяната (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Възраждане (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| БСП – обединена левица (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Морал, Единство, Чест (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Да, България! (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Величие (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Демократична България (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Алианс за права и свободи (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Синя България (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Сияние (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Има такъв народ (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Прогресивна България (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Прогресивна България (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 32% | 100% | |
| 6 | 55% | 68% | Median |
| 7 | 13% | 13% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 78% | 98% | Median |
| 6 | 20% | 20% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 98.9% | 99.8% | Median |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Продължаваме промяната (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 57% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 43% | 43% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Възраждане (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 41% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 52% | 59% | Median |
| 2 | 7% | 7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
БСП – обединена левица (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Морал, Единство, Чест (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Да, България! (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 82% | 82% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Величие (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Демократична България (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Алианс за права и свободи (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Синя България (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Синя България (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Сияние (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Сияние (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Има такъв народ (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Възраждане (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Възраждане (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 41% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 52% | 59% | Median |
| 2 | 7% | 7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Маркет ЛИНКС
- Commissioner(s): bTV
- Fieldwork period: 7–15 March 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 796
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.96%