Opinion Poll by Мяра, 7–16 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (*) 0.0% 30.8% 28.7–32.9% 28.2–33.5% 27.7–34.0% 26.7–35.1%
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 19.3% 17.6–21.2% 17.1–21.7% 16.7–22.1% 15.9–23.1%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) 0.0% 10.6% 9.3–12.1% 9.0–12.6% 8.7–13.0% 8.1–13.7%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 7.9% 6.8–9.3% 6.5–9.6% 6.2–10.0% 5.7–10.7%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 7.8% 6.7–9.1% 6.4–9.5% 6.1–9.8% 5.6–10.5%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 4.1% 3.3–5.1% 3.1–5.4% 2.9–5.7% 2.6–6.2%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 3.6% 2.9–4.6% 2.7–4.9% 2.5–5.1% 2.2–5.6%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1% 2.0–4.4% 1.7–4.9%
Величие (*) 0.0% 2.5% 1.9–3.3% 1.7–3.6% 1.6–3.8% 1.4–4.3%
Сияние (*) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.5–3.6% 1.3–4.1%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–3.0% 1.5–3.3% 1.4–3.5% 1.2–3.9%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.4% 0.6–2.8%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.4% 0.6–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (*) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 4 4 4 3–4 3–5
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Възраждане (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–3
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Сияние (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Прогресивна България (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Прогресивна България (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0.2% 100%  
6 76% 99.8% Median
7 24% 24%  
8 0% 0%  

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 95% 97% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 87% 99.9% Median
3 13% 13%  
4 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 18% 99.7%  
2 81% 81% Median
3 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 78% 96% Median
3 18% 18%  
4 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.1% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.9% 0.9%  
2 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 64% 64% Median
2 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Сияние (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Сияние (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 4% 4%  
2 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 18% 99.7%  
2 81% 81% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations