Opinion Poll by Тренд for 24 часа, 13–19 March 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (*) 0.0% 31.1% 29.2–33.0% 28.7–33.5% 28.3–34.0% 27.4–34.9%
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 19.7% 18.1–21.4% 17.7–21.8% 17.3–22.3% 16.6–23.1%
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) 0.0% 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 7.1% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Сияние (*) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.6%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.5–4.2%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
Величие (*) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Прогресивна България (*) 0 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 6–7
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 4 4 4 4–5 3–5
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Възраждане (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
БСП – обединена левица (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Морал, Единство, Чест (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Сияние (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Прогресивна България (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Прогресивна България (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 63% 100% Median
7 36% 36%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0% Majority

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.6% 100%  
4 95% 99.4% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 92% 100% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 16% 99.9%  
2 84% 84% Median
3 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 11% 100%  
2 77% 89% Median
3 13% 13%  
4 0% 0%  

БСП – обединена левица (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Морал, Единство, Чест (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Сияние (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Сияние (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 37% 100% Last Result
1 63% 63% Median
2 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Алианс за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 16% 99.9%  
2 84% 84% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations