Opinion Poll by Gallup International, 20–30 March 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Прогресивна България (*) | 0.0% | 28.4% | 26.4–30.5% | 25.9–31.1% | 25.4–31.6% | 24.5–32.7% |
| Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) | 0.0% | 23.4% | 21.6–25.4% | 21.0–26.0% | 20.6–26.5% | 19.7–27.5% |
| Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) | 0.0% | 10.6% | 9.3–12.2% | 9.0–12.6% | 8.7–13.0% | 8.1–13.7% |
| Продължаваме промяната (RE) | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.5–7.8% | 5.2–8.1% | 5.0–8.4% | 4.6–9.1% |
| Възраждане (ESN) | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.5–7.8% | 5.2–8.1% | 5.0–8.4% | 4.6–9.1% |
| БСП – обединена левица (S&D) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
| Сияние (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
| Има такъв народ (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.3% | 1.7–4.8% |
| Морал, Единство, Чест (*) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.1–3.7% | 2.0–3.9% | 1.8–4.1% | 1.6–4.6% |
| Да, България! (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.6–3.8% | 1.4–4.3% |
| Демократична България (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.1–3.1% | 0.9–3.5% |
| Величие (*) | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.1–3.1% | 0.9–3.5% |
| Синя България (ECR) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.4–1.8% | 0.3–2.1% |
| Алианс за права и свободи (RE) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.4–1.8% | 0.3–2.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Прогресивна България (*) | 0 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Продължаваме промяната (RE) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Възраждане (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| БСП – обединена левица (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Сияние (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Има такъв народ (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Морал, Единство, Чест (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Да, България! (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Демократична България (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Величие (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Синя България (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Алианс за права и свободи (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Прогресивна България (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Прогресивна България (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 79% | 96% | Median |
| 7 | 16% | 16% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 11% | 100% | |
| 5 | 84% | 89% | Median |
| 6 | 5% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 18% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Продължаваме промяната (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 91% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 3% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Възраждане (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 30% | 71% | Median |
| 2 | 41% | 41% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
БСП – обединена левица (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Сияние (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Сияние (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Има такъв народ (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Морал, Единство, Чест (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Да, България! (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 67% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 33% | 33% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Демократична България (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 81% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 19% | 19% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Величие (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Синя България (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Синя България (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Алианс за права и свободи (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Възраждане (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Сияние (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Възраждане (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 30% | 71% | Median |
| 2 | 41% | 41% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Сияние (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Gallup International
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 20–30 March 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 799
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.60%