Opinion Poll by NC Report for La Razón, 13–23 November 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 39.6% 24.1% 22.1–26.2% 21.5–26.8% 21.0–27.3% 20.1–28.4%
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 17.9% 21.0% 19.1–23.0% 18.6–23.6% 18.1–24.1% 17.3–25.1%
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 12.7% 14.8% 13.2–16.6% 12.7–17.1% 12.3–17.6% 11.6–18.5%
Junts per Catalunya 39.6% 13.6% 12.1–15.4% 11.7–15.9% 11.3–16.4% 10.6–17.3%
Partit Popular 8.5% 9.3% 8.0–10.8% 7.7–11.3% 7.4–11.6% 6.8–12.4%
Catalunya en Comú 8.9% 8.4% 7.2–9.9% 6.9–10.3% 6.6–10.7% 6.1–11.5%
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 8.2% 5.8% 4.8–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.3–7.7% 3.8–8.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 20 37 34–41 33–42 32–43 31–44
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 25 29 26–32 25–33 25–33 23–35
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 16 20 16–23 16–23 15–23 15–24
Junts per Catalunya 29 21 17–23 17–24 17–24 15–26
Partit Popular 11 12 10–14 10–14 9–15 8–16
Catalunya en Comú 11 9 8–12 8–13 7–13 6–14
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 10 8 5–9 4–9 3–10 3–10

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.3% 99.9%  
31 1.0% 99.6%  
32 3% 98.6%  
33 4% 96%  
34 5% 92%  
35 12% 87%  
36 11% 75%  
37 18% 64% Median
38 17% 46%  
39 11% 29%  
40 8% 18%  
41 4% 10%  
42 2% 6%  
43 2% 4%  
44 1.0% 1.2%  
45 0.2% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.9%  
24 1.1% 99.5%  
25 7% 98% Last Result
26 15% 92%  
27 11% 76%  
28 15% 65%  
29 12% 50% Median
30 15% 38%  
31 11% 23%  
32 6% 12%  
33 5% 7%  
34 1.5% 2%  
35 0.3% 0.5%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.2% 100%  
15 2% 99.8%  
16 10% 97% Last Result
17 13% 87%  
18 12% 75%  
19 12% 62%  
20 11% 51% Median
21 10% 39%  
22 18% 29%  
23 9% 11%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.3% 0.4%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.5% 99.9%  
16 0.7% 99.4%  
17 10% 98.7%  
18 18% 89%  
19 10% 71%  
20 9% 61%  
21 18% 52% Median
22 12% 34%  
23 17% 23%  
24 5% 6%  
25 0.8% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.8%  
27 0.2% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.7% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.2%  
10 17% 97%  
11 10% 80% Last Result
12 28% 70% Median
13 29% 42%  
14 9% 13%  
15 2% 4%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.1% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Catalunya en Comú

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 1.5% 99.8%  
7 2% 98%  
8 20% 96%  
9 34% 76% Median
10 8% 42%  
11 21% 34% Last Result
12 7% 12%  
13 3% 5%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 3% 100%  
4 2% 97%  
5 9% 94%  
6 6% 86%  
7 13% 79%  
8 45% 66% Median
9 18% 21%  
10 3% 3% Last Result
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular – Catalunya en Comú 63 70 77% 66–74 65–75 64–76 62–78
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú 60 67 48% 63–71 63–72 62–73 60–75
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 59 65 23% 61–69 60–70 59–71 57–73
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular 52 60 0.7% 56–64 55–65 55–66 53–68
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya 49 58 0% 54–61 53–62 52–63 50–65

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.4% 99.8%  
63 0.7% 99.5% Last Result
64 2% 98.7%  
65 4% 97%  
66 7% 93%  
67 9% 86%  
68 10% 77% Majority
69 11% 67%  
70 13% 56% Median
71 12% 43%  
72 12% 31%  
73 8% 19%  
74 5% 11%  
75 3% 6%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.9% 2%  
78 0.5% 0.7%  
79 0.2% 0.2%  
80 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.5% 99.7% Last Result
61 1.3% 99.1%  
62 3% 98%  
63 6% 95%  
64 9% 89%  
65 10% 80%  
66 10% 70%  
67 12% 60% Median
68 12% 48% Majority
69 12% 36%  
70 10% 24%  
71 6% 14%  
72 4% 8%  
73 2% 4%  
74 1.2% 2%  
75 0.5% 0.9%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.2% 100%  
57 0.5% 99.8%  
58 0.9% 99.3%  
59 2% 98% Last Result
60 3% 97%  
61 5% 94%  
62 8% 89%  
63 12% 81%  
64 12% 69%  
65 13% 57%  
66 11% 44% Median
67 10% 33%  
68 9% 23% Majority
69 7% 14%  
70 4% 7%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.7% 1.3%  
73 0.4% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
53 0.7% 99.7%  
54 1.5% 99.0%  
55 3% 98%  
56 6% 95%  
57 9% 89%  
58 11% 80%  
59 11% 70%  
60 12% 59%  
61 11% 47% Median
62 11% 36%  
63 10% 25%  
64 8% 15%  
65 4% 7%  
66 2% 4%  
67 1.0% 2%  
68 0.5% 0.7% Majority
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
50 0.4% 99.7%  
51 0.8% 99.3%  
52 2% 98%  
53 4% 96%  
54 7% 92%  
55 11% 86%  
56 11% 75%  
57 13% 64%  
58 11% 51% Median
59 11% 40%  
60 11% 29%  
61 9% 18%  
62 4% 9%  
63 2% 4%  
64 1.2% 2%  
65 0.7% 1.1%  
66 0.3% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0% Majority

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations