Junts per Catalunya

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 39.6% (General Election of 27 September 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 17.6% 14.2–21.0% 12.7–22.1% 12.0–22.9% 11.1–24.2%
13–20 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 20.0% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
12–19 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 20.1% 18.5–21.8% 18.1–22.3% 17.7–22.7% 17.0–23.5%
16–18 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 18.0% 16.4–19.8% 15.9–20.4% 15.5–20.8% 14.7–21.7%
11–18 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 19.1% 17.6–20.8% 17.1–21.2% 16.8–21.7% 16.1–22.5%
15–17 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 19.0% 17.3–20.9% 16.8–21.4% 16.4–21.9% 15.7–22.8%
10–17 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 19.5% 18.0–21.2% 17.5–21.7% 17.2–22.1% 16.4–22.9%
12–16 December 2017 Netquest
L’Indépendant		 17.1% 15.6–18.8% 15.2–19.3% 14.8–19.7% 14.1–20.6%
14–16 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 18.0% 16.4–19.8% 15.9–20.4% 15.5–20.8% 14.7–21.7%
9–16 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.4%
13–15 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 17.5% 15.9–19.3% 15.4–19.8% 15.0–20.3% 14.3–21.2%
11–15 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 19.4% 18.1–20.8% 17.8–21.2% 17.5–21.5% 16.9–22.1%
8–15 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 19.5% 18.0–21.2% 17.5–21.7% 17.2–22.1% 16.4–22.9%
11–14 December 2017 Top Position 22.4% 20.9–24.0% 20.5–24.5% 20.1–24.9% 19.4–25.7%
1–14 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 20.3% 19.0–21.7% 18.7–22.1% 18.4–22.5% 17.8–23.1%
12–14 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 17.9% 16.2–19.7% 15.8–20.2% 15.4–20.7% 14.6–21.6%
12–14 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 19.5% 18.0–21.2% 17.5–21.7% 17.2–22.1% 16.4–22.9%
7–14 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 19.6% 18.1–21.3% 17.6–21.8% 17.3–22.2% 16.5–23.0%
11–13 December 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 16.6% 15.4–17.8% 15.1–18.2% 14.8–18.5% 14.3–19.1%
4–13 December 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 16.1% 14.7–17.7% 14.3–18.1% 13.9–18.5% 13.3–19.3%
5–13 December 2017 MyWord
Cadena SER		 17.9% 16.4–19.6% 16.0–20.0% 15.7–20.4% 15.0–21.2%
4–13 December 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 14.3% 13.5–15.1% 13.3–15.3% 13.1–15.5% 12.8–15.9%
4–13 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 18.5% 17.1–20.0% 16.8–20.4% 16.4–20.8% 15.8–21.5%
11–13 December 2017 A+M
20minutos		 17.7% 16.5–19.1% 16.2–19.4% 15.9–19.8% 15.3–20.4%
5–12 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 18.3% 16.8–20.0% 16.4–20.4% 16.0–20.8% 15.3–21.6%
3–11 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 20.6% 19.1–22.3% 18.7–22.7% 18.3–23.1% 17.6–23.9%
1–9 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 21.3% 19.8–22.9% 19.3–23.4% 18.9–23.8% 18.2–24.6%
27 November–8 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 19.8% 18.3–21.4% 17.9–21.9% 17.6–22.3% 16.9–23.1%
4–8 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 18.9% 17.4–20.6% 16.9–21.0% 16.6–21.5% 15.9–22.3%
7 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 18.9% 17.5–20.4% 17.1–20.9% 16.8–21.2% 16.2–22.0%
4–7 December 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		 18.2% 16.7–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 15.9–20.7% 15.2–21.5%
3–7 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.1–19.1% 14.8–19.5% 14.1–20.3%
30 November–7 December 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		 16.2% 14.7–18.0% 14.2–18.5% 13.9–19.0% 13.1–19.9%
1–5 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.2–19.2% 14.9–19.6% 14.2–20.4%
29 November–2 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 19.2% 17.5–21.1% 17.1–21.7% 16.7–22.1% 15.9–23.1%
27–30 November 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 19.0% 17.3–20.9% 16.8–21.4% 16.4–21.9% 15.7–22.8%
23–27 November 2017 IMOP Insights
CIS		 16.9% 16.0–17.8% 15.8–18.1% 15.6–18.3% 15.2–18.7%
13–23 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 13.6% 12.1–15.4% 11.7–15.9% 11.3–16.4% 10.6–17.3%
13–23 November 2017 Advice Strategic Consultants
El Confidencial		 12.2% 11.3–13.2% 11.0–13.5% 10.8–13.7% 10.3–14.2%
20–22 November 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 13.6% 12.5–14.8% 12.2–15.2% 11.9–15.5% 11.4–16.1%
15–18 November 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 16.5% 14.9–18.3% 14.5–18.8% 14.1–19.2% 13.4–20.1%
13–16 November 2017 GAD3
ABC		 16.7% 15.1–18.5% 14.7–19.0% 14.3–19.5% 13.6–20.4%
30 October–3 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 October–3 November 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–31 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–29 October 2017 GESOP
CEO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–26 October 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 October 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–19 October 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 September 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–15 September 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 August–1 September 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Junts per Catalunya.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9.5–10.5% 0.1% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 1.2% 99.9%  
11.5–12.5% 3% 98.7%  
12.5–13.5% 3% 95%  
13.5–14.5% 5% 93%  
14.5–15.5% 7% 88%  
15.5–16.5% 12% 81%  
16.5–17.5% 18% 69%  
17.5–18.5% 16% 51% Median
18.5–19.5% 13% 35%  
19.5–20.5% 9% 23%  
20.5–21.5% 6% 13%  
21.5–22.5% 4% 7%  
22.5–23.5% 2% 3%  
23.5–24.5% 1.0% 1.3%  
24.5–25.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 0%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 0%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 0%  
28.5–29.5% 0% 0%  
29.5–30.5% 0% 0%  
30.5–31.5% 0% 0%  
31.5–32.5% 0% 0%  
32.5–33.5% 0% 0%  
33.5–34.5% 0% 0%  
34.5–35.5% 0% 0%  
35.5–36.5% 0% 0%  
36.5–37.5% 0% 0%  
37.5–38.5% 0% 0%  
38.5–39.5% 0% 0%  
39.5–40.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Seats

Last result: 29 seats (General Election of 27 September 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 26 21–32 19–34 18–37 17–38
13–20 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 30 28–32 26–33 26–34 25–36
12–19 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 30 28–33 27–34 26–35 25–36
16–18 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 27 24–30 23–30 23–31 22–33
11–18 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 29 26–31 25–32 25–32 24–34
15–17 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 29 26–31 24–32 24–33 23–35
10–17 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 29 27–32 26–32 25–33 24–35
12–16 December 2017 Netquest
L’Indépendant		 26 23–29 23–30 23–30 21–31
14–16 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 27 24–30 23–31 23–31 22–32
9–16 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 29 26–31 25–32 24–32 23–34
13–15 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 26 23–29 23–30 23–31 21–32
11–15 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 29 26–31 26–32 26–32 25–33
8–15 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 29 27–32 26–32 25–33 24–35
11–14 December 2017 Top Position 36 32–38 32–38 32–39 31–40
1–14 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 30 29–33 29–34 28–34 26–35
12–14 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 27 24–30 23–30 23–31 22–32
12–14 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 29 26–32 26–32 25–33 24–35
7–14 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 29 27–32 26–32 25–33 24–35
11–13 December 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 25 23–27 23–28 23–29 21–29
4–13 December 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 24 22–27 21–28 21–29 19–29
5–13 December 2017 MyWord
Cadena SER		 27 24–29 24–30 23–30 23–32
4–13 December 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 22 20–23 19–23 19–23 18–24
4–13 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 27 25–30 24–30 24–31 23–32
11–13 December 2017 A+M
20minutos		 26 24–29 24–29 23–30 23–30
5–12 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 28 25–30 24–31 23–31 23–32
3–11 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 31 29–35 29–35 28–35 26–37
1–9 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 32 30–35 29–36 29–37 27–38
27 November–8 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 30 28–33 27–34 26–35 25–36
4–8 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 28 26–31 25–32 24–32 23–33
7 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 28 25–30 24–30 24–31 23–32
4–7 December 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		 27 24–30 24–30 23–31 23–32
3–7 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 25 23–29 23–29 22–30 21–31
30 November–7 December 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		 24 21–27 21–28 20–29 18–30
1–5 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 25 23–28 23–29 22–29 21–30
29 November–2 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 29 26–32 25–32 25–33 23–35
27–30 November 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 29 26–32 25–32 24–34 23–35
23–27 November 2017 IMOP Insights
CIS		 25 24–27 24–28 23–29 23–29
13–23 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 21 17–23 17–24 17–24 15–26
13–23 November 2017 Advice Strategic Consultants
El Confidencial		 18 17–20 17–21 17–21 15–22
20–22 November 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 20 18–22 17–23 17–23 17–24
15–18 November 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 25 22–27 21–28 21–29 20–31
13–16 November 2017 GAD3
ABC		 24 23–28 22–29 21–29 20–30
30 October–3 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		          
30 October–3 November 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		          
27–31 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
16–29 October 2017 GESOP
CEO		          
23–26 October 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		          
16–21 October 2017 NC Report
La Razón		          
16–19 October 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		          
4–9 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		          
19–22 September 2017 NC Report
La Razón		          
12–15 September 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		          
28 August–1 September 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Junts per Catalunya.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.8%  
18 3% 98%  
19 1.5% 95%  
20 1.1% 94%  
21 3% 93%  
22 4% 90%  
23 8% 86%  
24 12% 78%  
25 9% 67%  
26 11% 57% Median
27 7% 46%  
28 6% 39%  
29 12% 33% Last Result
30 7% 22%  
31 4% 15%  
32 4% 11%  
33 1.4% 7%  
34 1.2% 6%  
35 1.0% 5%  
36 0.9% 4%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.9% 1.2%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%