Opinion Poll by Feedback for El Nacional, 3–7 December 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 39.6% 23.1% 21.4–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.7%
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 17.9% 23.0% 21.4–24.8% 20.9–25.3% 20.5–25.7% 19.7–26.6%
Junts per Catalunya 39.6% 17.0% 15.5–18.6% 15.1–19.1% 14.8–19.5% 14.1–20.3%
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 12.7% 15.3% 13.9–16.9% 13.5–17.3% 13.2–17.7% 12.6–18.4%
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 8.2% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
Partit Popular 8.5% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Catalunya en Comú 8.9% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–7.0% 4.3–7.2% 4.0–7.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 20 36 32–38 32–39 31–40 30–41
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 25 31 29–34 28–35 27–36 26–37
Junts per Catalunya 29 25 23–29 23–29 22–30 21–31
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 16 20 17–23 17–23 16–24 16–24
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 10 9 8–10 8–10 8–11 6–12
Partit Popular 11 7 6–9 5–10 5–10 5–10
Catalunya en Comú 11 5 4–7 4–8 4–8 4–8

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.6% 99.8%  
31 2% 99.2%  
32 8% 97%  
33 7% 88%  
34 12% 82%  
35 16% 70%  
36 19% 54% Median
37 15% 35%  
38 14% 20%  
39 3% 6%  
40 2% 3%  
41 0.6% 1.1%  
42 0.3% 0.4%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100% Last Result
26 0.6% 100%  
27 2% 99.3%  
28 3% 97%  
29 5% 95%  
30 12% 90%  
31 28% 77% Median
32 22% 49%  
33 10% 27%  
34 10% 17%  
35 3% 7%  
36 2% 4%  
37 0.7% 1.1%  
38 0.3% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 1.3% 99.9%  
22 2% 98.6%  
23 10% 96%  
24 23% 86%  
25 14% 63% Median
26 16% 49%  
27 14% 33%  
28 9% 19%  
29 7% 10% Last Result
30 2% 3%  
31 0.3% 0.5%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 3% 99.8% Last Result
17 7% 97%  
18 9% 89%  
19 12% 81%  
20 19% 68% Median
21 14% 50%  
22 18% 35%  
23 14% 17%  
24 3% 3%  
25 0.4% 0.4%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 0.4% 99.7%  
7 0.7% 99.4%  
8 22% 98.7%  
9 50% 77% Median
10 24% 27% Last Result
11 2% 3%  
12 1.2% 1.3%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 0.2% 99.9%  
5 9% 99.7%  
6 29% 91%  
7 17% 61% Median
8 25% 45%  
9 12% 20%  
10 7% 8%  
11 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Catalunya en Comú

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.3% 100%  
4 12% 99.7%  
5 47% 87% Median
6 24% 40%  
7 10% 16%  
8 6% 7%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 59 70 86% 67–73 66–74 65–75 64–77
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú 60 67 36% 63–70 63–71 62–72 60–73
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular – Catalunya en Comú 63 65 14% 62–68 61–69 60–70 58–71
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya 49 61 0.6% 58–64 57–65 56–66 55–68
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular 52 59 0.1% 56–62 55–63 54–64 53–66

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100% Last Result
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 0.8% 99.6%  
65 2% 98.9%  
66 4% 97%  
67 7% 93%  
68 10% 86% Majority
69 14% 76%  
70 18% 63% Median
71 17% 44%  
72 10% 28%  
73 7% 17%  
74 5% 10%  
75 3% 5%  
76 1.5% 2%  
77 0.5% 0.7%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
61 1.1% 99.4%  
62 3% 98%  
63 6% 95%  
64 10% 90%  
65 12% 80%  
66 17% 69% Median
67 16% 52%  
68 14% 36% Majority
69 9% 22%  
70 6% 13%  
71 4% 7%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.8% 1.2%  
74 0.3% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.5% 99.8%  
59 1.5% 99.3%  
60 3% 98%  
61 5% 95%  
62 7% 90%  
63 10% 83% Last Result, Median
64 17% 72%  
65 18% 56%  
66 14% 37%  
67 10% 24%  
68 7% 14% Majority
69 4% 7%  
70 2% 3%  
71 0.8% 1.1%  
72 0.3% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.8% 99.7%  
56 2% 98.9%  
57 4% 97%  
58 7% 93%  
59 11% 86%  
60 13% 75%  
61 20% 63% Median
62 16% 43%  
63 11% 27%  
64 6% 16%  
65 5% 9%  
66 2% 4%  
67 1.3% 2%  
68 0.5% 0.6% Majority
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
53 0.9% 99.6%  
54 2% 98.7%  
55 4% 97%  
56 6% 93%  
57 10% 87%  
58 13% 77% Median
59 16% 63%  
60 16% 47%  
61 12% 31%  
62 9% 19%  
63 5% 10%  
64 3% 4%  
65 1.0% 2%  
66 0.4% 0.6%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1% Majority
69 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations