Opinion Poll by Feedback for El Nacional, 4–8 December 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 39.6% | 22.3% | 20.7–24.1% | 20.2–24.6% | 19.8–25.0% | 19.1–25.8% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 17.9% | 21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.3–23.5% | 18.9–24.0% | 18.1–24.8% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 39.6% | 18.9% | 17.4–20.6% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.6–21.5% | 15.9–22.3% |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 12.7% | 15.9% | 14.5–17.5% | 14.1–17.9% | 13.8–18.3% | 13.1–19.1% |
| Catalunya en Comú | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| Partit Popular | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 20 | 33 | 31–37 | 30–37 | 30–38 | 28–39 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25 | 28 | 26–31 | 26–32 | 25–32 | 24–34 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 29 | 28 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–32 | 23–33 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 16 | 21 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 16–25 |
| Catalunya en Comú | 11 | 8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–11 | 5–11 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 10 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| Partit Popular | 11 | 7 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 4–10 |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 4% | 98% | |
| 31 | 11% | 94% | |
| 32 | 25% | 83% | |
| 33 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 34 | 14% | 46% | |
| 35 | 12% | 32% | |
| 36 | 9% | 20% | |
| 37 | 7% | 11% | |
| 38 | 3% | 4% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 4% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 26 | 13% | 95% | |
| 27 | 13% | 82% | |
| 28 | 20% | 69% | Median |
| 29 | 18% | 48% | |
| 30 | 13% | 31% | |
| 31 | 12% | 17% | |
| 32 | 3% | 5% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 25 | 5% | 96% | |
| 26 | 15% | 90% | |
| 27 | 12% | 76% | |
| 28 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 29 | 23% | 49% | Last Result |
| 30 | 14% | 26% | |
| 31 | 7% | 12% | |
| 32 | 4% | 5% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 17 | 4% | 98% | |
| 18 | 7% | 94% | |
| 19 | 15% | 87% | |
| 20 | 12% | 72% | |
| 21 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 22 | 24% | 47% | |
| 23 | 17% | 23% | |
| 24 | 5% | 5% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Catalunya en Comú
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 11% | 97% | |
| 7 | 13% | 86% | |
| 8 | 46% | 74% | Median |
| 9 | 23% | 28% | |
| 10 | 2% | 5% | |
| 11 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 14% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 55% | 85% | Median |
| 10 | 24% | 29% | Last Result |
| 11 | 3% | 5% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 14% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 32% | 85% | |
| 7 | 19% | 52% | Median |
| 8 | 20% | 34% | |
| 9 | 10% | 14% | |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 59 | 71 | 91% | 68–74 | 67–75 | 66–76 | 64–77 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú | 60 | 69 | 80% | 66–73 | 65–74 | 65–75 | 63–76 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular | 63 | 64 | 9% | 61–67 | 60–68 | 59–69 | 58–71 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú | 47 | 62 | 3% | 59–66 | 58–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya | 49 | 61 | 1.0% | 59–65 | 58–66 | 57–67 | 55–68 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular | 52 | 56 | 0% | 53–59 | 52–60 | 51–61 | 50–63 |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 5% | 96% | |
| 68 | 8% | 91% | Majority |
| 69 | 13% | 84% | |
| 70 | 17% | 71% | Median |
| 71 | 15% | 53% | |
| 72 | 14% | 38% | |
| 73 | 10% | 24% | |
| 74 | 6% | 15% | |
| 75 | 4% | 8% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 5% | 94% | |
| 67 | 9% | 89% | |
| 68 | 13% | 80% | Majority |
| 69 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 70 | 15% | 49% | |
| 71 | 12% | 33% | |
| 72 | 8% | 21% | |
| 73 | 6% | 13% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 60 | 4% | 96% | |
| 61 | 6% | 92% | |
| 62 | 10% | 85% | |
| 63 | 14% | 76% | Last Result |
| 64 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 65 | 17% | 47% | |
| 66 | 13% | 29% | |
| 67 | 8% | 16% | |
| 68 | 5% | 9% | Majority |
| 69 | 3% | 4% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 4% | 97% | |
| 59 | 6% | 93% | |
| 60 | 10% | 87% | |
| 61 | 13% | 76% | |
| 62 | 18% | 63% | Median |
| 63 | 17% | 45% | |
| 64 | 11% | 28% | |
| 65 | 7% | 18% | |
| 66 | 5% | 10% | |
| 67 | 3% | 5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 69 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 5% | 95% | |
| 59 | 9% | 90% | |
| 60 | 13% | 81% | |
| 61 | 20% | 69% | Median |
| 62 | 14% | 49% | |
| 63 | 13% | 35% | |
| 64 | 9% | 22% | |
| 65 | 6% | 13% | |
| 66 | 4% | 7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 4% | 96% | Last Result |
| 53 | 6% | 92% | |
| 54 | 10% | 86% | |
| 55 | 13% | 76% | |
| 56 | 16% | 63% | Median |
| 57 | 17% | 47% | |
| 58 | 12% | 30% | |
| 59 | 8% | 18% | |
| 60 | 5% | 10% | |
| 61 | 3% | 5% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Feedback
- Commissioner(s): El Nacional
- Fieldwork period: 4–8 December 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 8,388,608
- Error estimate: 0.61%