Opinion Poll by Feedback for El Nacional, 5–12 December 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 17.9% | 23.6% | 21.9–25.4% | 21.5–25.9% | 21.1–26.3% | 20.3–27.2% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 39.6% | 20.9% | 19.3–22.6% | 18.9–23.1% | 18.5–23.5% | 17.8–24.4% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 39.6% | 18.3% | 16.8–20.0% | 16.4–20.4% | 16.0–20.8% | 15.3–21.6% |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.8–16.8% | 13.4–17.2% | 13.1–17.6% | 12.5–18.3% |
| Catalunya en Comú | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.6–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| Partit Popular | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25 | 32 | 29–34 | 29–35 | 28–36 | 26–38 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 20 | 31 | 29–34 | 29–35 | 28–36 | 26–37 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 29 | 28 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 23–31 | 23–32 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 16 | 20 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| Catalunya en Comú | 11 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 10 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 |
| Partit Popular | 11 | 6 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 3–9 | 3–9 |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 26 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 28 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 29 | 6% | 95% | |
| 30 | 12% | 89% | |
| 31 | 21% | 77% | |
| 32 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 33 | 22% | 43% | |
| 34 | 13% | 21% | |
| 35 | 4% | 8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98% | |
| 29 | 11% | 96% | |
| 30 | 12% | 84% | |
| 31 | 27% | 72% | Median |
| 32 | 20% | 45% | |
| 33 | 9% | 26% | |
| 34 | 6% | 16% | |
| 35 | 7% | 10% | |
| 36 | 2% | 3% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 5% | 97% | |
| 25 | 13% | 92% | |
| 26 | 15% | 78% | |
| 27 | 11% | 63% | |
| 28 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 29 | 25% | 39% | Last Result |
| 30 | 7% | 13% | |
| 31 | 5% | 7% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 16 | 6% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 17 | 6% | 93% | |
| 18 | 19% | 87% | |
| 19 | 17% | 68% | |
| 20 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 21 | 13% | 42% | |
| 22 | 21% | 29% | |
| 23 | 7% | 9% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Catalunya en Comú
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 4% | 98% | |
| 8 | 32% | 94% | |
| 9 | 36% | 62% | Median |
| 10 | 8% | 26% | |
| 11 | 15% | 18% | Last Result |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 44% | 90% | Median |
| 10 | 36% | 46% | Last Result |
| 11 | 4% | 10% | |
| 12 | 5% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 3% | 95% | |
| 5 | 41% | 92% | |
| 6 | 25% | 51% | Median |
| 7 | 18% | 26% | |
| 8 | 5% | 8% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 59 | 69 | 66% | 65–72 | 64–73 | 64–73 | 62–75 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú | 60 | 68 | 59% | 65–71 | 64–72 | 63–73 | 62–75 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular | 63 | 66 | 34% | 63–70 | 62–71 | 62–71 | 60–73 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú | 47 | 61 | 0.4% | 57–64 | 56–65 | 55–65 | 54–67 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya | 49 | 59 | 0% | 56–62 | 55–63 | 54–64 | 53–66 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular | 52 | 57 | 0% | 54–61 | 53–62 | 52–62 | 51–64 |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 7% | 94% | |
| 66 | 10% | 87% | |
| 67 | 11% | 77% | |
| 68 | 13% | 66% | Median, Majority |
| 69 | 17% | 52% | |
| 70 | 16% | 35% | |
| 71 | 9% | 20% | |
| 72 | 5% | 10% | |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 5% | 96% | |
| 65 | 9% | 91% | |
| 66 | 11% | 82% | |
| 67 | 12% | 72% | |
| 68 | 16% | 59% | Median, Majority |
| 69 | 18% | 43% | |
| 70 | 11% | 25% | |
| 71 | 7% | 15% | |
| 72 | 4% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 5% | 95% | Last Result |
| 64 | 9% | 90% | |
| 65 | 16% | 80% | |
| 66 | 17% | 65% | |
| 67 | 13% | 48% | Median |
| 68 | 11% | 34% | Majority |
| 69 | 10% | 23% | |
| 70 | 7% | 13% | |
| 71 | 4% | 6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 4% | 97% | |
| 57 | 7% | 93% | |
| 58 | 11% | 86% | |
| 59 | 13% | 75% | |
| 60 | 11% | 62% | Median |
| 61 | 16% | 50% | |
| 62 | 15% | 34% | |
| 63 | 9% | 19% | |
| 64 | 5% | 10% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 55 | 5% | 96% | |
| 56 | 8% | 91% | |
| 57 | 11% | 82% | |
| 58 | 13% | 71% | |
| 59 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 60 | 18% | 44% | |
| 61 | 14% | 27% | |
| 62 | 6% | 13% | |
| 63 | 4% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 5% | 95% | |
| 55 | 9% | 89% | |
| 56 | 14% | 80% | |
| 57 | 18% | 66% | |
| 58 | 14% | 48% | Median |
| 59 | 11% | 34% | |
| 60 | 9% | 23% | |
| 61 | 8% | 13% | |
| 62 | 3% | 5% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Feedback
- Commissioner(s): El Nacional
- Fieldwork period: 5–12 December 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 8,388,608
- Error estimate: 1.13%